Steelers 27, Browns 6, and the final is the only number that matters now. The model had Pittsburgh at 67 percent and the thread has no picks on either side, so the bandwagon is empty.
NFL · · Acrisure Stadium · every National Football League line
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreBrowns 6, Steelers 27 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSteelers 67%
- Pregame Projected scoreSteelers 24, Browns 19
- Model spreadSteelers −5.5 total 42.5
- Margin21 projected 5.5
- Total33 projected 42.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Cleveland Browns or Pittsburgh Steelers: the bandwagon
Axle 33–67Market 35–65
FinalPregame: PIT 67%Baseline: PIT 90.6% (+23.3)Big swing: 12.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| PIT | 7 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 27 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for PIT over the last 5:00
Big swing12.9 ptstoward PIT at 7:03 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselinePIT 90.6%game average, +23.3 points from the pregame 67.3%
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CLE | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | CLE319 | PIT361 |
| First downs | CLE17 | PIT21 |
| 3rd down | CLE4/13 | PIT4/11 |
| 4th down | CLE0/2 | PIT0/0 |
| Turnovers | CLE2 | PIT1 |
| Penalties-yards | CLE9-85 | PIT5-47 |
| Yards per play | CLE5.0 | PIT6.1 |
| Time of possession | CLE30:15 | PIT29:45 |
| Red zone | CLE0/3 | PIT3/5 |
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CLE | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CLE6 | PIT27 |
| Average win probability | CLE9% | PIT91% |
| Longest scoring run | CLE+3 | PIT+14 |
| Time leading | CLE0:00 | PIT52:35 |
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET
Browns33%
Win chanceSteelers67%
SpreadPIT −5.5closing model spread
Total42.5
Moneyline+206away / −206homeaway / home
Line movementPIT win chance, 14 stored lines
+3 pts for PIT between Oct 28 and Nov 1
73%59%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | PIT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 67% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 64% | — |
- Ratings
- PIT 1553 · CLE 1459
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET · 2026-11-01 21:08 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Cleveland Browns 6, Pittsburgh Steelers 27. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 11:30 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 2 picks
Be the first on the bandwagon
BrownsSteelers
Neutrals only–
BrownsSteelers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Steelers–
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Browns vs Steelers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi had the Steelers at 65% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 66% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 67% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | CLE | PIT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 65% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 35% | 66% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 33% | 67% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, PIT: −2Polymarket minus model, PIT: −2
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Steelers a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 42.5. Ratings: Steelers 1571 (11th of 32), Browns 1442 (21st). The Steelers are 6-2 in the AFC North; the Browns are 5-3 in the AFC North. The Steelers have won 4 of their last 5; the Browns 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Steelers won 2, the Browns 4. The roster source lists 12 Steelers and 9 Browns players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Cleveland Browns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Pittsburgh Steelers | L 6–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee Titans | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baltimore Ravens | W 13–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Jets | L 12–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pittsburgh Steelers | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup |
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland Browns | W 27–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Orleans Saints | W 16–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 26–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indianapolis Colts | W 34–22 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland Browns | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | 6–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers | 9–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers | 14–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | 19–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | 10–13 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cleveland Browns: Raheim Sanders RB, Elijah Chatman DT, Kalia Davis DT, Edefuan Ulofoshio LB, Alex Wright DE, Teven Jenkins G, Damarri Mathis CB, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB, Joe Royer TE
Pittsburgh Steelers: Roman Wilson WR, Michael Pittman Jr. WR, DeShon Elliott S, Sebastian Joseph-Day DT, Logan Lee DT, Derrick Harmon DT, Donte Kent CB, Daequan Hardy CB, Cole Burgess WR, Jack Driscoll OT, Gennings Dunker G, Max Hurleman RB
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Browns5-3 AFC North, 3rd · L1
- Browns rating1442 21st of 32, 8 games
- Steelers6-2 AFC North, 1st · W4
- Steelers rating1571 11th of 32, 8 games
Cleveland Browns 5-3
National Football League · AFC North · 3rd · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BROWNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BROWNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BROWNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BROWNS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cleveland Browns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · AFC North · 1st · streak W4
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $STEELERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $STEELERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $STEELERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $STEELERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pittsburgh Steelers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sign in to post a take on $BROWNSSTEELERS261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Browns 6, Steelers 27. Bandwagon's model had the Steelers at 67% and projected Steelers 24, Browns 19; spread Steelers −5.5, total 42.5. Last read: Kalshi 65%, Polymarket 66% for the Steelers.