Bengals 43, Titans 36, and the final is closer than the model's 84 percent for Cincinnati suggested it would be. Crowd picks came in at zero, so nobody in this thread was on the bandwagon before the kickoff.
NFL · · Paycor Stadium · every National Football League line
Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreTitans 36, Bengals 43 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBengals 84%
- Pregame Projected scoreBengals 28, Titans 16
- Model spreadBengals −12 total 43.5
- Margin7 projected 12
- Total79 projected 43.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tennessee Titans or Cincinnati Bengals: the bandwagon
Axle 16–84Market 11–89
Final · OTPregame: CIN 83%Baseline: CIN 62.6% (−20.7)Big swing: 97.5 ptsClutch window: 25:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEN | 13 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 36 |
| CIN | 0 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 43 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to CIN+84.3 points for CIN over the last 5:00
Big swing97.5 ptstoward CIN at 59:49 of game time
Clutch window25:00within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineCIN 62.6%game average, −20.7 points from the pregame 83.4%
Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TEN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | TEN440 | CIN510 |
| First downs | TEN23 | CIN29 |
| 3rd down | TEN5/12 | CIN7/10 |
| 4th down | TEN1/2 | CIN0/1 |
| Turnovers | TEN2 | CIN4 |
| Penalties-yards | TEN10-73 | CIN8-67 |
| Yards per play | TEN6.3 | CIN7.3 |
| Time of possession | TEN32:11 | CIN32:12 |
| Red zone | TEN3/4 | CIN5/6 |
Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TEN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TEN36 | CIN43 |
| Average win probability | TEN37% | CIN63% |
| Longest scoring run | TEN+13 | CIN+21 |
| Time leading | TEN32:17 | CIN16:37 |
Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET
Titans16%
Win chanceBengals84%
SpreadCIN −12closing model spread
Total43.5
Moneyline+507away / −507homeaway / home
Line movementCIN win chance, 16 stored lines
+1 pts for CIN between Oct 28 and Nov 1
89%77%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | CIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 84% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 83% | — |
- Ratings
- CIN 1556 · TEN 1303
- Home spread
- −12
- Stored
- Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET · 2026-11-01 21:29 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- home 83% → 84%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Tennessee Titans 36, Cincinnati Bengals 43. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 5:30 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
TitansBengals
Neutrals only–
TitansBengals
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bengals–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Titans vs Bengals odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi had the Bengals at 89% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 89% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 83% when last read, .
| Source | TEN | CIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 11% | 89% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 11% | 89% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 16% | 84% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CIN: +5Polymarket minus model, CIN: +5
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bengals a 12-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 43.5. Ratings: Bengals 1562 (12th of 32), Titans 1297 (32nd). The Bengals are 5-2 in the AFC North; the Titans are 1-7 in the AFC South. The Bengals have won 3 of their last 5; the Titans 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bengals won 2, the Titans 1. The roster source lists 8 Bengals and 8 Titans players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tennessee Titans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cincinnati Bengals | L 36–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland Browns | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indianapolis Colts | W 26–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Texans | L 3–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baltimore Ravens | L 18–24 | – | – | matchup |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tennessee Titans | W 43–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baltimore Ravens | W 35–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Dolphins | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville Jaguars | L 17–22 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pittsburgh Steelers | L 27–30 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans | 37–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans | 3–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans | 20–16 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tennessee Titans: Tanoh Kpassagnon DE, Jaylen Harrell LB, Dorian Mausi LB, Kendell Brooks S, Fernando Carmona G, Milo Eifler LB, Jaren Kanak TE, Jackson Slater G
Cincinnati Bengals: Andrei Iosivas WR, Erick All Jr. TE, Swayze Bozeman LB, Ja'Sir Taylor CB, Jalen Davis CB, Cashius Howell DE, Tanner Hudson TE, Brian Parker II OT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Titans1-7 AFC South, 4th · L2
- Titans rating1297 32nd of 32, 8 games
- Bengals5-2 AFC North, 2nd · W3
- Bengals rating1562 12th of 32, 7 games
Tennessee Titans 1-7
National Football League · AFC South · 4th · streak L2
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TITANS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TITANS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TITANS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TITANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Titans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · AFC North · 2nd · streak W3
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BENGALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BENGALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BENGALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BENGALS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cincinnati Bengals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Sign in to post a take on $TITANSBENGALS261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Titans 36, Bengals 43. Bandwagon's model had the Bengals at 84% and projected Bengals 28, Titans 16; spread Bengals −12, total 43.5. Last read: Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 89% for the Bengals.