Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBears 34, Seahawks 17 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerSeahawks 68%
- Pregame Projected scoreSeahawks 25, Bears 19
- Model spreadSeahawks −5.5 total 44.5
- Margin17 projected 5.7
- Total51 projected 44.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chicago Bears or Seattle Seahawks: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market 38–62
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 7 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 34 |
| SEA | 0 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CHI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | CHI363 | SEA252 |
| First downs | CHI22 | SEA18 |
| 3rd down | CHI7/15 | SEA1/11 |
| 4th down | CHI1/1 | SEA1/2 |
| Turnovers | CHI1 | SEA1 |
| Penalties-yards | CHI10-85 | SEA5-43 |
| Yards per play | CHI5.2 | SEA4.5 |
| Time of possession | CHI35:03 | SEA24:57 |
| Red zone | CHI4/4 | SEA1/4 |
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CHI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI34 | SEA17 |
| Average win probability | CHI67% | SEA33% |
| Longest scoring run | CHI+14 | SEA+8 |
| Time leading | CHI49:48 | SEA0:00 |
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 PM ET | 68% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 7:41 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:36 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 67% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 68% | — |
- Ratings
- SEA 1668 · CHI 1575
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:55 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 11:30 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 2, 2:59 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bears vs Seahawks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi had the Seahawks at 62% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 62% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 68% when last read, .
| Source | CHI | SEA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 38% | 62% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 32% | 68% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Seahawks a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 44.5. Ratings: Seahawks 1628 (3rd of 32), Bears 1615 (6th). The Seahawks are 4-4 in the NFC West; the Bears are 6-2 in the NFC North. The Seahawks have won 2 of their last 5; the Bears 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Seahawks won 1, the Bears 0. The roster source lists 6 Seahawks and 11 Bears players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chicago Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Seattle Seahawks | W 34–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New England Patriots | W 30–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta Falcons | W 31–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Packers | L 7–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Jets | W 23–12 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Seahawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Bears | L 17–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas City Chiefs | W 20–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Denver Broncos | L 14–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Francisco 49ers | L 29–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 30–23 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears | 6–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Bears: Cole Kmet TE, Coby Bryant S, Dayo Odeyingbo DE, Ruben Hyppolite II LB, Brittain Brown RB, Dallis Flowers CB, Tony Fields II LB, Braxton Jones OT, Nikola Kalinic TE, Hayden Large TE, Nephi Sewell LB
Seattle Seahawks: Jake Bobo WR, Elijah Arroyo TE, Robbie Ouzts FB, Bud Clark S, Julian Neal CB, Mason Richman G
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears6-2 NFC North, 2nd · W3
- Bears rating1615 6th of 32, 8 games
- Seahawks4-4 NFC West, 2nd · L1
- Seahawks rating1628 3rd of 32, 8 games
Chicago Bears 6-2
National Football League · NFC North · 2nd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $BEARS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Seahawks 4-4
National Football League · NFC West · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SEAHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Seahawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
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Final: Bears 34, Seahawks 17. Bandwagon's model had the Seahawks at 68% and projected Seahawks 25, Bears 19; spread Seahawks −5.5, total 44.5. Last read: Kalshi 62%, Polymarket 62% for the Seahawks.