MLS odds, Nov 2–8, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 15 of 15 MLS games Nov 2–8, 2026. Its biggest favorite is San Diego FC at 62%, against Sporting Kansas City; its closest game is Portland Timbers at Austin FC, 34%–39%. The largest gap with a market is Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF: the model gives Inter Miami CF 54% and Polymarket 73% (19 points). Model as of Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET; prices as of Nov 7, 6:57 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
MLS Nov 2–8, 2026 slate
15 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC at Red Bull New York | Red Bull New York 49% draw 26% | Red Bull New York −0.5 | 3 | Red Bull New York 45% | Red Bull New York 46% | – | Atlanta United FC 0, Red Bull New York 3 model's favorite won | |
| Charlotte FC at Inter Miami CF | Inter Miami CF 54% draw 25% | Inter Miami CF −1 | 3.5 | Inter Miami CF 72% | Inter Miami CF 73% | – | Charlotte FC 3, Inter Miami CF 3 ended level | |
| Columbus Crew at Chicago Fire FC | Chicago Fire FC 48% draw 26% | Chicago Fire FC −0.5 | 3.5 | Chicago Fire FC 54% | Chicago Fire FC 54% | – | Columbus Crew 4, Chicago Fire FC 3 model's favorite lost | |
| Nashville SC at FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC 42% draw 27% | Nashville SC −0.5 | 3 | Nashville SC 40% | Nashville SC 40% | – | Nashville SC 2, FC Cincinnati 0 model's favorite won | |
| New England Revolution at Orlando City SC | Orlando City SC 45% draw 27% | Orlando City SC −0.5 | 4 | Orlando City SC 49% | Orlando City SC 49% | – | New England Revolution 0, Orlando City SC 1 model's favorite won | |
| New York City FC at D.C. United | New York City FC 40% draw 27% | even | 3 | New York City FC 49% | New York City FC 50% | – | New York City FC 1, D.C. United 0 model's favorite won | |
| Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union | Philadelphia Union 61% draw 22% | Philadelphia Union −1 | 3.5 | Philadelphia Union 76% | Philadelphia Union 76% | – | Toronto FC 1, Philadelphia Union 4 model's favorite won | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps at CF Montréal | Vancouver Whitecaps 54% draw 25% | Vancouver Whitecaps −1 | 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 53% | Vancouver Whitecaps 52% | – | Vancouver Whitecaps 2, CF Montréal 0 model's favorite won | |
| Colorado Rapids at FC Dallas | FC Dallas 56% draw 24% | FC Dallas −1 | 3 | FC Dallas 51% | FC Dallas 52% | – | Colorado Rapids 1, FC Dallas 3 model's favorite won | |
| Sporting Kansas City at San Diego FC | San Diego FC 62% draw 21% | San Diego FC −1 | 3.5 | San Diego FC 58% | San Diego FC 56% | – | Sporting Kansas City 1, San Diego FC 0 model's favorite lost | |
| LAFC at Seattle Sounders FC | Seattle Sounders FC 42% draw 27% | even | 3 | Seattle Sounders FC 45% | Seattle Sounders FC 45% | – | LAFC 1, Seattle Sounders FC 2 model's favorite won | |
| LA Galaxy at Real Salt Lake | Real Salt Lake 45% draw 27% | Real Salt Lake −0.5 | 3.5 | Real Salt Lake 55% | Real Salt Lake 56% | – | LA Galaxy 1, Real Salt Lake 2 model's favorite won | |
| Portland Timbers at Austin FC | Austin FC 39% draw 28% | even | 3.5 | Austin FC 23% | Austin FC 23% | – | Portland Timbers 2, Austin FC 0 model's favorite lost | |
| San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC | Minnesota United FC 47% draw 26% | Minnesota United FC −0.5 | 3 | Minnesota United FC 59% | Minnesota United FC 59% | – | San Jose Earthquakes 1, Minnesota United FC 3 model's favorite won | |
| St. Louis CITY SC at Houston Dynamo FC | Houston Dynamo FC 44% draw 27% | Houston Dynamo FC −0.5 | 3 | Houston Dynamo FC 42% | Houston Dynamo FC 41% | – | St. Louis CITY SC 1, Houston Dynamo FC 0 model's favorite lost |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 10 of 15 finished MLS games that had a favorite (67%), and 1 game ended level. Each line is the one stored before kickoff. The model's record