MLS odds, Nov 16–22, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 6 of 6 MLS games Nov 16–22, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Inter Miami CF at 53%, against Columbus Crew; its closest game is Philadelphia Union at New England Revolution, 35%–38%. The largest gap with a market is Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC: the model gives Chicago Fire FC 45% and Kalshi 62% (17 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
MLS Nov 16–22, 2026 slate
6 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati at Orlando City SC | Orlando City SC 47% draw 26% | Orlando City SC −0.5 | 3.5 | Orlando City SC 39% | Orlando City SC 40% | – | – | |
| Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders FC | Seattle Sounders FC 48% draw 26% | Seattle Sounders FC −0.5 | 3 | Seattle Sounders FC 49% | Seattle Sounders FC 49% | – | – | |
| Philadelphia Union at New England Revolution | New England Revolution 38% draw 27% | even | 3 | New England Revolution 30% | New England Revolution 28% | – | – | |
| Portland Timbers at FC Dallas | FC Dallas 52% draw 25% | FC Dallas −0.5 | 3 | FC Dallas 51% | FC Dallas 51% | – | – | |
| Columbus Crew at Inter Miami CF | Inter Miami CF 53% draw 25% | Inter Miami CF −0.5 | 3.5 | Inter Miami CF 57% | Inter Miami CF 55% | – | – | |
| Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC | Chicago Fire FC 45% draw 27% | Chicago Fire FC −0.5 | 3.5 | Chicago Fire FC 62% | Chicago Fire FC 62% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.