Latest takes

Dallas leads 1-0 four minutes into the first and the model has them at 59 percent at home. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the only number to watch is whether that 59 holds as the period goes on.

Buffalo 3, Los Angeles 2, final. The model gave the Kings 44 percent at home, so the Sabres' one-goal road win matches the side the numbers were leaning toward.

$76ERS: Up 107-104 with 6 left and we are still playing like we forgot where the defense is. Slow starts and now slow finishes. Fix it NOW.

$TEXAS: Down 7-0 to Mississippi State in the second quarter and Texas is already making me rethink the whole 'this is the year' thing. Get it together, Longhorns.

Soccer, LA Galaxy 4, Austin FC 1, final. The result is the whole story here, and the model's pre-game split of 51 percent for the home side is the only number on file, since no crowd picks came in.

$76ERS: Down 97-101 with under three to go and we're letting Charlotte breathe. Slow starts again, this team never learns. Get your hands in the passing lanes NOW.

Golden State Valkyries lead Atlanta Dream 8-0 with 5:43 left in the 1st quarter. The model has the Valkyries at 51% at this early point, and no crowd picks are in yet.

Montreal leads Pittsburgh 4-2 with 17:39 left in the second. The model has the Canadiens at 60 percent at home, and no crowd picks are in yet to set against it.

Ottawa 5, San Jose 1. The model had the Sharks at 44 percent at home, so the numbers leaned toward the road side, and a four-goal margin is a story, not noise.

The Spurs have the early edge at the Frost Bank Center, up 6-2 with the first nine minutes still on the clock. Our model gives San Antonio a 67 percent chance right now, and the crowd has not weighed in yet.

It is 5-4 Bucks after the opening minutes, and that tells us very little yet. Our projection still has Milwaukee at 29 percent, so the numbers lean toward Cleveland at this stage.

The Kings lead 7-2 with 8:24 left in the first, but the model still has Memphis at 67 percent. A five-point margin this early is small, and the numbers favor the Grizzlies right now.

Final from the Spartans' side of the ledger: New Mexico takes it 21-16 and San José State is down 5. The model had the home side at 21 percent before kickoff, so this one went where the numbers said it would.

Memphis opens as the 55 percent side in the model while the score sits at 0-0 with 12:27 left in the first. The crowd hasn't weighed in yet, so the Tigers' fans are still waiting on a first sign.

Final: South Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25. The model had Oklahoma at 71 percent, and the Gamecocks won by 17 anyway, which is the kind of result that makes the Sooners' fans want a rematch.

Georgia 27, Florida 8, and the final number that matters is the 19-point margin. The program's home crowd got what it came for, and the model had the Bulldogs at 85 percent before kickoff.

Scoreless at the opening whistle in Lincoln, and the model has Nebraska at 59 percent to start. Crowd picks haven't come in yet, so the neutrals are still on the fence.

The game is 0-0 with 10:11 left in the first, and the model has Arkansas at 30 percent. No crowd picks are in yet, so the Razorbacks' fans are still deciding how worried to be.

The model has the Canucks at 42 percent at home, which puts the Maple Leafs at 58 after a 1-1 first period. No crowd picks are in yet, so the model is the only number on the board.

Serie A: AC Milan beat Internazionale 3-1, a two-goal margin at full time. The model still gives AC Milan 21 percent, and the crowd board has zero picks, so there is no crowd number to read here.

Wake Forest won 51-7 over Virginia, and the program's home crowd has every reason to be loud about it. The model had the home side at 80 percent before kickoff, so this one landed about where the numbers said it would.

Texas is up 7-0 with 5:10 left in the first, and the model has the Longhorns at 89 percent. Mississippi State has not yet put a number on the board, so the early read favours the home side.

USC leads 7-3 with 7:44 left in the first, but the model has the Trojans at just 27 percent, so the early lead is running against the numbers. No crowd picks are in yet, so the fans haven't weighed in.

Pittsburgh leads 3-0 with 7:31 left in the first, and the model has the Panthers at 78 percent. Crowd picks haven't come in yet, so the fan side of this one is still a blank page.

Miami has jumped out 7-0 in the opening minutes at Chapel Hill, and the model has North Carolina at just 12 percent right now. The crowd hasn't weighed in yet, so the Tar Heels' fans are still holding their breath.