Golden State Valkyries lead Atlanta Dream 8-0 with 5:43 left in the 1st quarter. The model has the Valkyries at 51% at this early point, and no crowd picks are in yet.
WNBA · · Chase Center · every Women's National Basketball Association line
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreDream 63, Valkyries 68 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerValkyries 51%
- Pregame Projected scoreValkyries 79, Dream 77
- Model spreadValkyries −1.5 total 155.5
- Margin5 projected 1.5
- Total131 projected 155.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Atlanta Dream or Golden State Valkyries: the bandwagon
Axle 49–51Market –
FinalPregame: GS 51%Baseline: GS 47.5% (−3.7)Big swing: 41.6 ptsClutch window: 9:33
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 12 | 18 | 14 | 19 | 63 |
| GS | 14 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 68 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to GS+48.8 points for GS over the last 5:00
Big swing41.6 ptstoward GS at 37:50 of game time
Clutch window9:33within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineGS 47.5%game average, −3.7 points from the pregame 51.2%
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ATL | GS |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ATL23/69 | GS24/64 |
| 3-pointers | ATL6/30 | GS5/20 |
| Free throws | ATL11/15 | GS15/16 |
| Rebounds | ATL35 | GS38 |
| Assists | ATL15 | GS11 |
| Turnovers | ATL12 | GS11 |
| Steals | ATL6 | GS7 |
| Blocks | ATL2 | GS8 |
| Points in the paint | ATL28 | GS30 |
| Fast-break points | ATL2 | GS2 |
| Fouls | ATL16 | GS14 |
| Largest lead | ATL9 | GS8 |
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ATL | GS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ATL63 | GS68 |
| Average win probability | ATL53% | GS47% |
| Longest scoring run | ATL+9 | GS+8 |
| Time leading | ATL20:24 | GS16:09 |
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Dream49%
Win chanceValkyries51%
SpreadGS −1.5closing model spread
Total155.5
Moneyline+105away / −105homeaway / home
Line movementGS win chance, 8 stored lines
+10 pts for GS between Oct 29 and Oct 31
62%36%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | GS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 2:54 PM ET | 52% | −4 |
| Oct 29, 7:59 AM ET | 56% | +5 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | +10 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 41% | — |
- Ratings
- GS 1689 · ATL 1716
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Atlanta Dream 63, Golden State Valkyries 68. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Women's National Basketball Association a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
DreamValkyries
Neutrals only–
DreamValkyries
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Valkyries–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Valkyries a 1.5-point favorite at home, with a 51% chance to win. The model total is 155.5. Ratings: Valkyries 1698 (2nd of 15), Dream 1706 (1st). The Valkyries are 32-12; the Dream are 30-14. The Valkyries have won 3 of their last 5; the Dream 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Valkyries won 3, the Dream 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Atlanta Dream
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Golden State Valkyries | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Golden State Valkyries | W 80–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Valkyries | L 55–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Golden State Valkyries | L 62–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Golden State Valkyries | W 97–71 | – | – | matchup |
Golden State Valkyries
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta Dream | W 68–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta Dream | L 69–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Atlanta Dream | W 64–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta Dream | W 67–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta Dream | L 71–97 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries at Atlanta Dream | 69–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries | 55–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| Golden State Valkyries at Atlanta Dream | 67–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| Golden State Valkyries at Atlanta Dream | 71–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries | 79–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries | 64–68 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Atlanta Dream: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Golden State Valkyries: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Dream30-14 1st · W5
- Dream rating1706 1st of 15, 56 games
- Valkyries32-12 2nd · W1
- Valkyries rating1698 2nd of 15, 57 games
Atlanta Dream 30-14
Women's National Basketball Association · 1st · streak W5
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DREAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DREAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DREAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $DREAM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Atlanta Dream bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Golden State Valkyries 32-12
Women's National Basketball Association · 2nd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $VALKYRIES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $VALKYRIES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $VALKYRIES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $VALKYRIES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Golden State Valkyries bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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