NFL Week 10 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Nov 12–16, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 14 of 14 NFL Week 10 games. Its biggest favorite is Bills at 87%, against Jets; its closest game is Patriots vs Lions, 47%–53%. The largest gap with a market is Vikings at Packers: the model gives Packers 54% and Polymarket 63% (9 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NFL Week 10 slate
14 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders at Giants | Giants 63% | Giants −4 | 45.5 | Giants 56% | Giants 56% | – | – | |
| Patriots vs Lions | Lions 53% | Lions −1.5 | 48.5 | Lions 58% | Lions 59% | – | – | |
| Bills at Jets | Bills 87% | Bills −13 | 48.5 | Bills 81% | Bills 81% | – | – | |
| Chiefs at Falcons | Chiefs 63% | Chiefs −3.5 | 45 | Chiefs 64% | Chiefs 64% | – | – | |
| Dolphins at Colts | Colts 58% | Colts −3 | 44 | Colts 65% | Colts 65% | – | – | |
| Jaguars at Titans | Jaguars 85% | Jaguars −12 | 44 | Jaguars 84% | Jaguars 84% | – | – | |
| Panthers at Saints | Saints 54% | Saints −1.5 | 49 | Saints 56% | Saints 56% | – | – | |
| Texans at Browns | Texans 60% | Texans −2.5 | 45 | Texans 67% | Texans 68% | – | – | |
| Vikings at Packers | Packers 54% | Packers −1.5 | 40.5 | Packers 62% | Packers 63% | – | – | |
| Rams at Cardinals | Rams 74% | Rams −7 | 46.5 | Rams 80% | Rams 80% | – | – | |
| Seahawks at Raiders | Seahawks 76% | Seahawks −7.5 | 48.5 | Seahawks 73% | Seahawks 73% | – | – | |
| 49ers at Cowboys | 49ers 68% | 49ers −5 | 49 | 49ers 67% | 49ers 66% | – | – | |
| Steelers at Bengals | Bengals 56% | Bengals −2.5 | 46 | Bengals 64% | Bengals 64% | – | – | |
| Chargers at Ravens | Ravens 69% | Ravens −6 | 44.5 | Ravens 68% | Ravens 67% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.