NFL Week 11 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Nov 19–23, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 13 of 13 NFL Week 11 games. Its biggest favorite is Bills at 89%, against Dolphins; its closest game is Ravens at Panthers, 53%–47%. The largest gap with a market is Cardinals at Chiefs: the model gives Chiefs 78% and Polymarket 90% (12 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NFL Week 11 slate
13 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts at Texans | Texans 75% | Texans −8 | 47 | Texans 82% | Texans 83% | – | – | |
| Buccaneers at Lions | Lions 69% | Lions −6.5 | 45.5 | Lions 64% | Lions 64% | – | – | |
| Cardinals at Chiefs | Chiefs 78% | Chiefs −9.5 | 45.5 | Chiefs 88% | Chiefs 90% | – | – | |
| Dolphins at Bills | Bills 89% | Bills −15.5 | 47 | Bills 93% | Bills 93% | – | – | |
| Ravens at Panthers | Ravens 53% | Ravens −0.5 | 47.5 | Ravens 47% | Ravens 47% | – | – | |
| Saints at Bears | Bears 80% | Bears −10.5 | 45.5 | Bears 84% | Bears 85% | – | – | |
| Steelers at Eagles | Steelers 68% | Steelers −5 | 42 | Steelers 65% | Steelers 65% | – | – | |
| Titans at Cowboys | Cowboys 76% | Cowboys −8.5 | 47 | Cowboys 80% | Cowboys 81% | – | – | |
| Jets at Chargers | Chargers 61% | Chargers −4 | 44.5 | Chargers 55% | Chargers 54% | – | – | |
| Jaguars at Giants | Jaguars 67% | Jaguars −4.5 | 44.5 | Jaguars 70% | Jaguars 70% | – | – | |
| Raiders at Broncos | Broncos 83% | Broncos −12 | 48.5 | Broncos 80% | Broncos 79% | – | – | |
| Vikings vs 49ers | 49ers 54% | 49ers −1.5 | 42.5 | 49ers 66% | 49ers 66% | – | – | |
| Bengals at Commanders | Bengals 67% | Bengals −4.5 | 47.5 | Bengals 66% | Bengals 66% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.