Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
- Projected winnerCowboys 74%
- Projected scoreCowboys 27, Titans 20
- Model spreadCowboys −8 total 47
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tennessee Titans or Dallas Cowboys: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TEN | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TEN– | DAL– |
| Average win probability | TEN– | DAL– |
| Longest scoring run | TEN– | DAL– |
| Time leading | TEN– | DAL– |
Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys odds
Every stored line
| Stored | DAL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | — |
- Ratings
- DAL 1447 · TEN 1297
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Roofed venueforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cowboys a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 47. Ratings: Cowboys 1447 (20th of 32), Titans 1297 (32nd). The Cowboys are 3-5 in the NFC East; the Titans are 1-7 in the AFC South. The Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5; the Titans 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cowboys won 1, the Titans 0. The roster source lists 8 Cowboys and 8 Titans players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tennessee Titans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cincinnati Bengals | L 36–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland Browns | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indianapolis Colts | W 26–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Texans | L 3–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baltimore Ravens | L 18–24 | – | – | matchup |
Dallas Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Cardinals | L 30–33 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Eagles | W 38–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Packers | L 13–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 16–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Texans | W 34–30 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans | 27–13 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tennessee Titans: Tanoh Kpassagnon DE, Jaylen Harrell LB, Dorian Mausi LB, Kendell Brooks S, Fernando Carmona G, Milo Eifler LB, Jaren Kanak TE, Jackson Slater G
Dallas Cowboys: Marist Liufau LB, Jalen Thompson S, Jonathan Bullard DT, Malik Davis RB, Princeton Fant TE, Kelvin Gilliam Jr. DT, Matt Hennessy C, Devin Moore CB
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Titans1-7 AFC South, 4th · L2
- Titans rating1297 32nd of 32, 8 games
- Cowboys3-5 NFC East, 2nd · L1
- Cowboys rating1447 20th of 32, 8 games
Tennessee Titans 1-7
National Football League · AFC South · 4th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $TITANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Titans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Dallas Cowboys 3-5
National Football League · NFC East · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $COWBOYS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dallas Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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