New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
- Projected winnerChargers 63%
- Projected scoreChargers 24, Jets 19
- Model spreadChargers −4.5 total 43
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New York Jets or Los Angeles Chargers: the bandwagon
Axle 37–63Market –
New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NYJ | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYJ– | LAC– |
| Average win probability | NYJ– | LAC– |
| Longest scoring run | NYJ– | LAC– |
| Time leading | NYJ– | LAC– |
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | LAC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- LAC 1399 · NYJ 1339
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Chargers a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 43. Ratings: Chargers 1399 (28th of 32), Jets 1339 (31st). The Chargers are 0-7 in the AFC West; the Jets are 2-6 in the AFC East. The Chargers have won 0 of their last 5; the Jets 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Chargers won 1, the Jets 0. The roster source lists 9 Chargers and 13 Jets players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New York Jets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Las Vegas Raiders | L 33–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami Dolphins | L 25–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New England Patriots | L 19–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland Browns | W 17–12 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Bears | L 12–23 | – | – | matchup |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Los Angeles Rams | L 9–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas City Chiefs | L 6–22 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Broncos | L 17–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Seahawks | L 23–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Buffalo Bills | L 16–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers at New York Jets | 27–6 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New York Jets: T'Vondre Sweat DT, Tim Patrick WR, Braiden McGregor DE, David Onyemata DT, Arian Smith WR, Tyler Baron DE, Kingsley Jonathan DE, Marcelino McCrary-Ball LB, Anez Cooper G, Caullin Lacy WR, Max Mitchell OT, VJ Payne S, Chip Trayanum RB
Los Angeles Chargers: Trey Lance QB, Derwin James Jr. S, David Njoku TE, Alec Ingold FB, Denzel Perryman LB, Trevor Penning G, Trey Pipkins III OT, Rashawn Slater OT, Isaiah World OT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jets2-6 AFC East, 3rd · L3
- Jets rating1339 31st of 32, 8 games
- Chargers0-7 AFC West, 4th · L7
- Chargers rating1399 28th of 32, 7 games
New York Jets 2-6
National Football League · AFC East · 3rd · streak L3
No stances yet today on $JETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Jets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · AFC West · 4th · streak L7
No stances yet today on $CHARGERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Chargers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Chargers 63% to win. Projected score Chargers 24, Jets 19; spread Chargers −4.5, total 43. New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers, Sun, Nov 22, 4:05 PM ET.