Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
- Projected winnerRavens 55%
- Projected scoreRavens 25, Panthers 24
- Model spreadRavens −1 total 48
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Baltimore Ravens or Carolina Panthers: the bandwagon
Axle 55–45Market –
Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | BAL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BAL– | CAR– |
| Average win probability | BAL– | CAR– |
| Longest scoring run | BAL– | CAR– |
| Time leading | BAL– | CAR– |
Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CAR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 45% | — |
- Ratings
- CAR 1429 · BAL 1502
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ravens a 1-point favorite, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 48. Ratings: Panthers 1429 (23rd of 32), Ravens 1502 (16th). The Panthers are 3-4 in the NFC South; the Ravens are 4-4 in the AFC North. The Panthers have won 2 of their last 5; the Ravens 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 0, the Ravens 1. The roster source lists 11 Panthers and 8 Ravens players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Baltimore Ravens
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Buffalo Bills | L 10–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cincinnati Bengals | L 13–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland Browns | L 10–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta Falcons | W 30–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Titans | W 24–18 | – | – | matchup |
Carolina Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Green Bay Packers | L 19–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 13–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Eagles | W 25–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Lions | W 32–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland Browns | L 18–21 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens | 3–13 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Baltimore Ravens: Tyler Loop PK, Skylar Thompson QB, Tavius Robinson LB, Durham Smythe TE, Bilhal Kone CB, Danny Pinter C, Adam Randall RB, Jahquez Robinson S
Carolina Panthers: Xavier Legette WR, Jaycee Horn CB, Jonathon Brooks RB, Akayleb Evans CB, Mike Jackson CB, Nic Scourton LB, Cam Jackson DT, Thomas Incoom LB, Chris Brazzell II WR, Ikem Ekwonu OT, Taylor Moton OT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Ravens4-4 AFC North, 4th · L3
- Ravens rating1502 16th of 32, 8 games
- Panthers3-4 NFC South, 1st · L2
- Panthers rating1429 23rd of 32, 7 games
Baltimore Ravens 4-4
National Football League · AFC North · 4th · streak L3
2 stances today on $RAVENS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Baltimore Ravens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · NFC South · 1st · streak L2
No stances yet today on $PANTHERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Carolina Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers
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Model: Ravens 55% to win. Projected score Ravens 25, Panthers 24; spread Ravens −1, total 48. Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers, Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET.