Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
- Projected winnereven
- Projected score49ers 21, Vikings 21
- Model spreadeven total 42.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Minnesota Vikings or San Francisco 49ers: the bandwagon
Axle 51–49Market –
Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MIN | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIN– | SF– |
| Average win probability | MIN– | SF– |
| Longest scoring run | MIN– | SF– |
| Time leading | MIN– | SF– |
Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | — |
- Ratings
- SF 1620 · MIN 1616
- Home spread
- PK · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Neutral siteforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 49% for the 49ers. The model total is 42.5. Ratings: 49ers 1620 (4th of 32), Vikings 1616 (5th). The 49ers are 6-1 in the NFC West; the Vikings are 6-1 in the NFC North. The 49ers have won 4 of their last 5; the Vikings 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the 49ers won 0, the Vikings 2. The roster source lists 16 49ers and 7 Vikings players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Minnesota Vikings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Detroit Lions | L 15–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indianapolis Colts | W 16–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Orleans Saints | W 23–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami Dolphins | W 15–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 23–16 | – | – | matchup |
San Francisco 49ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Atlanta Falcons | L 20–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Commanders | W 23–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Seahawks | W 32–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Broncos | W 24–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Cardinals | W 36–30 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings | 17–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings | 17–22 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: Jamal Adams LB, Jordan Mason RB, Josh Oliver TE, Tyler Batty LB, Donovan Jackson G, Dwight McGlothern Jr. CB, Nick Samac C
San Francisco 49ers: Ricky Pearsall WR, Demarcus Robinson WR, Isaac Guerendo RB, Nate Hobbs CB, C.J. West DT, Alfred Collins DT, Jake Tonges TE, Nick Martin LB, Sam Okuayinonu DT, Andrew Farmer II DE, Darrick Forrest S, Mikail Kamara DE, Austen Pleasants OT, De'Zhaun Stribling WR, Brett Toth C, Nick Zakelj OT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Vikings6-1 NFC North, 1st · L1
- Vikings rating1616 5th of 32, 7 games
- 49ers6-1 NFC West, 1st · L1
- 49ers rating1620 4th of 32, 7 games
National Football League · NFC North · 1st · streak L1
No stances yet today on $VIKINGS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Vikings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · NFC West · 1st · streak L1
No stances yet today on $49ERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Francisco 49ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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