Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
- Projected winnerJaguars 66%
- Projected scoreJaguars 25, Giants 20
- Model spreadJaguars −4.5 total 45
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Jacksonville Jaguars or New York Giants: the bandwagon
Axle 66–34Market –
Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | JAX | NYG |
|---|---|---|
| Score | JAX– | NYG– |
| Average win probability | JAX– | NYG– |
| Longest scoring run | JAX– | NYG– |
| Time leading | JAX– | NYG– |
Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NYG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 34% | — |
- Ratings
- NYG 1455 · JAX 1615
- Home spread
- +4.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jaguars a 4.5-point favorite, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 45. Ratings: Giants 1455 (18th of 32), Jaguars 1615 (7th). The Giants are 4-2-1 in the NFC East; the Jaguars are 5-2 in the AFC South. The Giants have won 3 of their last 5; the Jaguars 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Giants won 1, the Jaguars 0. The roster source lists 15 Giants and 12 Jaguars players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Indianapolis Colts | W 42–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Texans | L 31–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia Eagles | W 19–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bengals | W 22–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New England Patriots | W 35–6 | – | – | matchup |
New York Giants
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Houston Texans | W 27–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Orleans Saints | L 27–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Commanders | T 27–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Cardinals | W 36–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Titans | W 12–7 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars | 23–17 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Jacksonville Jaguars: DaVon Hamilton DT, Caleb Ransaw S, Eric Murray S, B.J. Green II DE, Jared Bartlett LB, Garrett DiGiorgio OT, Zach Durfee DE, Anton Harrison OT, Parker Hughes LB, Devon Marshall CB, Patrick Mekari G, Sam Mustipher C
New York Giants: Jaxson Dart QB, Braxton Berrios WR, Tremaine Edmunds LB, Brian Burns LB, Francis Mauigoa OT, Calvin Austin III WR, Paulson Adebo CB, Chauncey Golston DE, Korie Black CB, DJ James CB, Jarrick Bernard-Converse CB, Rico Payton CB, Thaddeus Dixon CB, Gunner Olszewski WR, Roy Robertson-Harris DT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jaguars5-2 AFC South, 1st · W1
- Jaguars rating1615 7th of 32, 7 games
- Giants4-2-1 NFC East, 1st · W1
- Giants rating1455 18th of 32, 7 games
National Football League · AFC South · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $JAGUARS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
New York Giants 4-2-1
National Football League · NFC East · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GIANTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Giants bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Jaguars 66% to win. Projected score Jaguars 25, Giants 20; spread Jaguars −4.5, total 45. Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants, Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET.