Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerRams 71%
- Projected scoreRams 27, Cardinals 20
- Model spreadRams −6 total 47
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Los Angeles Rams or Arizona Cardinals: the bandwagon
Axle 71–29Market 75–25
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | LAR | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAR– | ARI– |
| Average win probability | LAR– | ARI– |
| Longest scoring run | LAR– | ARI– |
| Time leading | LAR– | ARI– |
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:41 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:36 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:56 PM ET | 29% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET | 30% | +2 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 28% | +6 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 22% | — |
- Ratings
- ARI 1389 · LAR 1589
- Home spread
- +6
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Roofed venueforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Rams vs Cardinals odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi prices the Rams at 75%, Polymarket at 76% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 71%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | LAR | ARI | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 75% | 25% | ||
| Polymarket | 76% | 25% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 71% | 29% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 6-point favorite, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 47. Ratings: Cardinals 1389 (29th of 32), Rams 1589 (9th). The Cardinals are 3-5 in the NFC West; the Rams are 4-4 in the NFC West. The Cardinals have won 2 of their last 5; the Rams 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cardinals won 2, the Rams 4. The roster source lists 13 Cardinals and 13 Rams players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Los Angeles Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 24–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Las Vegas Raiders | W 35–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Cardinals | L 16–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Bills | L 34–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Eagles | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Dallas Cowboys | W 33–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Broncos | L 16–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Rams | W 18–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Lions | L 21–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Giants | L 24–36 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | 18–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | 20–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals | 45–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | 9–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals | 10–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals | 37–14 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Los Angeles Rams: Blake Grupe PK, Davante Adams WR, Myles Garrett DE, Terrance Ferguson TE, Poona Ford DT, Kobie Turner DE, Ronnie Rivers RB, Matthew Caldwell QB, Justin Dedich G, Zech McPhearson CB, Daniel Rickert DE, Keir Thomas II LB, Eddie Walls III LB
Arizona Cardinals: James Conner RB, Trey Benson RB, Will Johnson CB, Hunter Long TE, Xavier Weaver WR, Tip Reiman TE, Zachary Carter DT, Isaiah Adams G, Chase Bisontis G, Joey Blount S, Paris Johnson Jr. OT, Josh Minkins S, Kaleb Proctor DT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rams4-4 NFC West, 3rd · W2
- Rams rating1589 9th of 32, 8 games
- Cardinals3-5 NFC West, 4th · W1
- Cardinals rating1389 29th of 32, 8 games
Los Angeles Rams 4-4
National Football League · NFC West · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $RAMS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · NFC West · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CARDINALS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
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Model: Rams 71% to win. Projected score Rams 27, Cardinals 20; spread Rams −6, total 47. Kalshi 75%, Polymarket 76% for the Rams. Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET.