Men's college basketball national championship odds on Kalshi and Polymarket vs the Bandwagon model
Men's college basketball national championship odds: 74 teams have a championship price; highest price 16% for Blue Devils on Polymarket. Latest price read Nov 11, 1:51 AM ET.
Title prices beside the model's rank. Men's college basketball games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each team to win the title, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Men's college basketball national championship odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
74 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 14% Kalshi · | 16% Polymarket · | #1 market · #1 ratings | – |
| Florida Gators | 13% Kalshi · | 14% Polymarket · | #2 market · #4 ratings | – |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 8.3% Kalshi · | 10% Polymarket · | #3 market · #27 ratings | – |
| UConn Huskies | 10% Kalshi · | 8.9% Polymarket · | #4 market · #5 ratings | – |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8.2% Kalshi · | 9% Polymarket · | #5 market · #9 ratings | – |
| Michigan State Spartans | 8.2% Kalshi · | 7.5% Polymarket · | #6 market · #10 ratings | – |
| Arizona Wildcats | 3.1% Kalshi · | 5.6% Polymarket · | #7 market · #3 ratings | – |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 3.6% Kalshi · | 4.8% Polymarket · | #8 market · #30 ratings | – |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 2.1% Kalshi · | 4.4% Polymarket · | #9 market · #28 ratings | – |
| Louisville Cardinals | 2.8% Kalshi · | 3.9% Polymarket · | #10 market · #23 ratings | – |
| Miami Hurricanes | 1.3% Kalshi · | 3.8% Polymarket · | #11 market · #48 ratings | – |
| Texas Longhorns | 3.2% Kalshi · | 3.8% Polymarket · | #12 market · #47 ratings | – |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 3.7% Kalshi · | 3.5% Polymarket · | #13 market · #12 ratings | – |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 2.4% Kalshi · | 3.1% Polymarket · | #14 market · #8 ratings | – |
| Houston Cougars | 3.1% Kalshi · | 2.8% Polymarket · | #15 market · #6 ratings | – |
| UCLA Bruins | 2.9% Kalshi · | 2.2% Polymarket · | #16 market · #29 ratings | – |
| BYU Cougars | 0.7% Kalshi · | 2.7% Polymarket · | #17 market · #38 ratings | – |
| St. John's Red Storm | 2.6% Kalshi · | 1.1% Polymarket · | #18 market · #7 ratings | – |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 1.1% Kalshi · | 2.4% Polymarket · | #19 market · #17 ratings | – |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 1.5% Kalshi · | 2.1% Polymarket · | #20 market · #11 ratings | – |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 2.1% Kalshi · | – | #21 market · #13 ratings | – |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 0.7% Kalshi · | 1.9% Polymarket · | #22 market · #45 ratings | – |
| Michigan Wolverines | 1.3% Kalshi · | 1.7% Polymarket · | #23 market · #2 ratings | – |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 1.4% Kalshi · | 1% Polymarket · | #24 market · #77 ratings | – |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 1.4% Kalshi · | – | #25 market · #14 ratings | – |
| USC Trojans | 1.3% Kalshi · | – | #26 market · #119 ratings | – |
| LSU Tigers | 1.1% Kalshi · | – | #27 market · #102 ratings | – |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.7% Kalshi · | 1.1% Polymarket · | #28 market · #35 ratings | – |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.4% Kalshi · | 1% Polymarket · | #29 market · #49 ratings | – |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 0.2% Kalshi · | 1% Polymarket · | #30 market · #73 ratings | – |
| Baylor Bears | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | #31 market · #85 ratings | – |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0.6% Polymarket · | #32 market · #16 ratings | – |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | #33 market · #42 ratings | – |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #34 market · #81 ratings | – |
| Missouri Tigers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #35 market · #80 ratings | – |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #36 market · #21 ratings | – |
| Saint Louis Billikens | – | 0.5% Polymarket · | #37 market · #25 ratings | – |
| Auburn Tigers | 0.4% Kalshi · | – | #38 market · #36 ratings | – |
| Florida State Seminoles | 0.4% Kalshi · | – | #39 market · #65 ratings | – |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.4% Kalshi · | – | #40 market · #39 ratings | – |
Show the other 34 teams with a price
| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 0.4% Kalshi · | – | #41 market · #37 ratings | – |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.3% Kalshi · | – | #42 market · #53 ratings | – |
| NC State Wolfpack | 0.3% Kalshi · | – | #43 market · #54 ratings | – |
| Providence Friars | 0.3% Kalshi · | – | #44 market · #164 ratings | – |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 0.3% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #45 market · #31 ratings | – |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 0.2% Kalshi · | – | #46 market · #106 ratings | – |
| Syracuse Orange | 0.2% Kalshi · | – | #47 market · #146 ratings | – |
| VCU Rams | 0.2% Kalshi · | – | #48 market · #26 ratings | – |
| Villanova Wildcats | 0.2% Kalshi · | – | #49 market · #56 ratings | – |
| Xavier Musketeers | 0.2% Kalshi · | – | #50 market · #131 ratings | – |
| Boise State Broncos | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #51 market · #61 ratings | – |
| Boston College Eagles | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #52 market · #195 ratings | – |
| Butler Bulldogs | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #53 market · #177 ratings | – |
| Clemson Tigers | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #54 market · #41 ratings | – |
| Colorado State Rams | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #55 market · #68 ratings | – |
| Creighton Bluejays | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #56 market · #109 ratings | – |
| Dayton Flyers | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #57 market · #55 ratings | – |
| Georgetown Hoyas | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #58 market · #126 ratings | – |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #59 market · #238 ratings | – |
| Memphis Tigers | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #60 market · #161 ratings | – |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #61 market · #132 ratings | – |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #62 market · #58 ratings | – |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #63 market · #163 ratings | – |
| Oregon Ducks | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #64 market · #147 ratings | – |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #65 market · #137 ratings | – |
| Richmond Spiders | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #66 market · #150 ratings | – |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #67 market · #15 ratings | – |
| San Francisco Dons | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #68 market · #112 ratings | – |
| Seton Hall Pirates | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #69 market · #66 ratings | – |
| SMU Mustangs | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #70 market · #70 ratings | – |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #71 market · #155 ratings | – |
| Stanford Cardinal | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #72 market · #74 ratings | – |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #73 market · #83 ratings | – |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.1% Kalshi · | – | #74 market · #134 ratings | – |
Kalshi prices 73 of the 74 teams listed, and those prices add up to 116.4%; Polymarket prices 29 of the 74 teams listed, and those prices add up to 120.6%. A venue that prices only part of the field adds to less than 100%. These are not normalized here.
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Men's college basketball national championship odds on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.