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Markets · Tennis

Tennis prediction market odds: Kalshi and Polymarket match and tournament winner prices

Tour-level match winners and tournament winners, each venue's price side by side.

What is compared

Bandwagon has no model for this sport, so these are two venues' prices side by side and nothing is compared with a model. A venue is blank where it has no current two-sided price. Players, drivers and teams are the venues' own words.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Tennis match winners on Kalshi and Polymarket

30 of 70 matches
MatchKalshifirst-named · secondPolymarketfirst-named · secondGap, points
Sonego vs TabiloATP · Nov 11, 202658 · 4258 · 420
Fritz vs NorrieATP · Nov 11, 202675 · 2575 · 250
Gojo vs HumbertATP · Nov 11, 202633 · 6733 · 670
Shevchenko vs RuudATP · Nov 11, 202622 · 7821 · 791
Kecmanovic vs RuneATP · Nov 11, 202629 · 7130 · 701
Svitolina vs MuchovaWTA · Nov 11, 202641 · 5941 · 590
Sabalenka vs AndreevaWTA · Nov 11, 202651 · 4951 · 490
Bernard Tomic vs Omar JasikaATP · Nov 11, 2026 · under way: live prices–100 · 0–
Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi UchidaATP · Nov 11, 2026 · under way: live prices–59 · 41–
Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonaldATP · Nov 11, 2026 · under way: live prices–97.6 · 2.4–
Fajing Sun vs Billy HarrisATP · Nov 11, 2026 · under way: live prices–13 · 87–
August Holmgren vs Christopher O'ConnellATP · Nov 11, 2026–34 · 66–
Robin Bertrand vs Henry SearleATP · Nov 11, 2026–26 · 74–
Alafia Ayeni vs Alex BoltATP · Nov 11, 2026–20 · 80–
Felix Gill vs Massimo GiuntaATP · Nov 11, 2026–54 · 46–
Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus MondayATP · Nov 11, 2026–61 · 39–
Michael Geerts vs Sumit NagalATP · Nov 11, 2026–29 · 71–
Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro MartinezATP · Nov 11, 2026–75 · 25–
Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel AltmaierATP · Nov 11, 2026–30 · 70–
Eliakim Coulibaly vs Luka MikrutATP · Nov 11, 2026–44 · 56–
Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives MarcosATP · Nov 11, 2026–53 · 47–
Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago PereiraATP · Nov 11, 2026–71 · 29–
Matteo Martineau vs Hugo GastonATP · Nov 11, 2026–37 · 63–
Aziz Dougaz vs Alejandro Moro CanasATP · Nov 11, 2026–40 · 60–
Zsombor Piros vs Clement TaburATP · Nov 11, 2026–43 · 57–
Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin OrtenziWTA · Nov 11, 2026–56 · 44–
Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Alastair GrayATP · Nov 11, 2026–30 · 70–
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip MisolicATP · Nov 11, 2026–38 · 62–
Polona Hercog vs Carole MonnetWTA · Nov 11, 2026–46 · 54–
Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala GurriATP · Nov 11, 2026–10 · 90–

Each venue's two players' shares add to 100%. Tour-level ATP and WTA singles matches; matches priced at both venues come first.

Tennis tournaments with a price

11

Finals Women's Singles

WTA · to Nov 16, 2026
  • Aryna Sabalenka: Kalshi 31%, Polymarket –
  • Linda Noskova: Kalshi 22%, Polymarket –
  • Mirra Andreeva: Kalshi 18%, Polymarket –
  • Coco Gauff: Kalshi 16%, Polymarket –
  • Jessica Pegula: Kalshi 9.5%, Polymarket –

9 players with a price; too few for a page of its own.

Nitto ATP Singles Finals

ATP · to Nov 23, 2026
  • Alexander Zverev: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket –
  • Carlos Alcaraz: Kalshi 49%, Polymarket –
  • Ben Shelton: Kalshi 8.5%, Polymarket –
  • Daniil Medvedev: Kalshi 6.5%, Polymarket –
  • Flavio Cobolli: Kalshi 6%, Polymarket –

8 players with a price; too few for a page of its own.

Stockholm

ATP · to Dec 5, 2026
  • Taylor Fritz: Kalshi 24%, Polymarket –
  • Lorenzo Musetti: Kalshi 20%, Polymarket –
  • Alex Michelsen: Kalshi 19%, Polymarket –
  • Casper Ruud: Kalshi 18%, Polymarket –
  • Holger Rune: Kalshi 9.5%, Polymarket –

8 players with a price; too few for a page of its own.

Australian Open Men's Singles

ATP · to Feb 1, 2027
  • Carlos Alcaraz: Kalshi 35%, Polymarket –
  • Jannik Sinner: Kalshi 27%, Polymarket –
  • Alexander Zverev: Kalshi 12%, Polymarket –
  • Daniil Medvedev: Kalshi 4%, Polymarket –
  • Ben Shelton: Kalshi 3.5%, Polymarket –

21 players with a price.

Australian Open Women's Singles

WTA · to Feb 1, 2027
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova: Kalshi 36%, Polymarket –
  • Aryna Sabalenka: Kalshi 25%, Polymarket –
  • Elena Rybakina: Kalshi 20%, Polymarket –
  • Belinda Bencic: Kalshi 18%, Polymarket –
  • Coco Gauff: Kalshi 13%, Polymarket –

22 players with a price.

French Open Men's Singles

ATP · to Jun 15, 2027
  • Carlos Alcaraz: Kalshi 37%, Polymarket –
  • Ben Shelton: Kalshi 32%, Polymarket –
  • Jannik Sinner: Kalshi 22%, Polymarket –
  • Alexander Zverev: Kalshi 11%, Polymarket –
  • Lorenzo Musetti: Kalshi 5%, Polymarket –

13 players with a price.

French Open Women's Singles

WTA · to Jun 15, 2027
  • Elena Rybakina: Kalshi 27%, Polymarket –
  • Iga Swiatek: Kalshi 23%, Polymarket –
  • Aryna Sabalenka: Kalshi 22%, Polymarket –
  • Mirra Andreeva: Kalshi 14%, Polymarket –
  • Alexandra Eala: Kalshi 8%, Polymarket –

19 players with a price.

Wimbledon Men's Singles

ATP · to Jul 20, 2027
  • Carlos Alcaraz: Kalshi 44%, Polymarket –
  • Jannik Sinner: Kalshi 26%, Polymarket –
  • Ben Shelton: Kalshi 20%, Polymarket –
  • Alexander Zverev: Kalshi 10%, Polymarket –
  • Novak Djokovic: Kalshi 6%, Polymarket –

17 players with a price.

Wimbledon Women's Singles

WTA · to Jul 20, 2027
  • Madison Keys: Kalshi 72%, Polymarket –
  • Mirra Andreeva: Kalshi 72%, Polymarket –
  • Aryna Sabalenka: Kalshi 36%, Polymarket –
  • Iga Swiatek: Kalshi 36%, Polymarket –

4 players with a price; too few for a page of its own.

US Open Men's Singles

ATP · to Sep 21, 2027
  • Jannik Sinner: Kalshi 53%, Polymarket –
  • Casper Ruud: Kalshi 50%, Polymarket –
  • Rafael Jodar: Kalshi 50%, Polymarket –
  • Carlos Alcaraz: Kalshi 45%, Polymarket –
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime: Kalshi 45%, Polymarket –

24 players with a price.

US Open Women's Singles

WTA · to Sep 21, 2027
  • Aryna Sabalenka: Kalshi 29%, Polymarket –
  • Elena Rybakina: Kalshi 25%, Polymarket –
  • Alexandra Eala: Kalshi 8%, Polymarket –
  • Coco Gauff: Kalshi 5%, Polymarket –

4 players with a price; too few for a page of its own.

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Tour-level match winners and tournament winners, each venue's price side by side. Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket with the time each was read. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.