ATP Australian Open Men's Singles winner odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
21 players with a price. The event runs to about Feb 1, 2027. All Tennis markets
What is compared
Bandwagon has no model for this sport, so these are two venues' prices side by side and nothing is compared with a model. Each venue's price is what it displays for that player to win; a venue is blank where it has no current two-sided price for the player. Names are the venues' own words.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Australian Open Men's Singles: 15 best-priced players
21 listed| Player | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap, points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 35% | – | – |
| Jannik Sinner | 27% | – | – |
| Alexander Zverev | 12% | – | – |
| Daniil Medvedev | 4% | – | – |
| Ben Shelton | 3.5% | – | – |
| Rafael Jodar | 2%last trade, read | – | – |
| Learner Tien | 1.5% | – | – |
| Novak Djokovic | 1.5% | – | – |
| Taylor Fritz | 1.5% | – | – |
| Alex de Minaur | 1%last trade, read | – | – |
| Arthur Fils | 1%last trade, read | – | – |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1%last trade, read | – | – |
| Casper Ruud | 1%last trade, read | – | – |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 1%last trade, read | – | – |
| Flavio Cobolli | 1%last trade, read | – | – |
The other 6 players with a price
| Player | Kalshiread Nov 11, 1:51 AM ET | Polymarketread – |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 1% last | – |
| Jakub Mensik | 1% last | – |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1% last | – |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1% last | – |
| Tommy Paul | 1% last | – |
| Valentin Vacherot | 1% last | – |
Kalshi prices 21 players; its prices add to 100%. A venue that quotes every player adds to a little over 100%, because long shots are quoted at least a cent; a lower sum means it has no two-sided price for some of them.
"Last trade" is Kalshi's most recent trade, shown where nobody bids. Kalshi's market data carries no trade time, so the time beside it is when Bandwagon read it.
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Kalshi and Polymarket prices for each player to win the ATP Australian Open Men's Singles, side by side with the time each was read. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.