Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Southern Indiana at IU Indianapolis: Bandwagon's model makes Southern Indiana a 51% favorite (IU Indianapolis −1); Kalshi prices them at 27%; the DraftKings line is IU Indianapolis −7.5 with a total of 163.5, as of Nov 11, 2:11 a.m. ET.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars model odds and win probability
Axle gives Southern Indiana a 51% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the DraftKings line, the markets and the crowd
Every CBB marketEach bar is the chance that Southern Indiana win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 51%.
The largest gap is 24 points: Axle has Southern Indiana at 51%, Kalshi at 27%.
| Axle | DraftKings line | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | IU Indianapolis −1 | IU Indianapolis −7.5 |
| Total | 145.5 | 163.5 |
| Moneyline (away / home) | −106 / +106 | +260 / −325 |
DraftKings line: the spread, total and moneylines DraftKings published for this game, as read from a public league scoreboard feed, as of ; these figures have stood since . Shown for comparison; Axle never reads them (how the comparison works).
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Southern Indiana
All CBB ratings| USI | IUIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1485 206th of 365 | 1369 343rd of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | IUIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 49% | — |
Southern Indiana vs IU Indianapolis odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Men's college basketball marketKalshi prices Screaming Eagles at 27%, Polymarket at 29% (2 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 51%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | USI | IUIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 27% | 73% | ||
| Polymarket | 29% | 71% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 51% | 49% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Screaming Eagles the favorite, with a 51% chance to win; its spread is Jaguars −1. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Jaguars 1369 (343rd of 365), Screaming Eagles 1485 (206th). The Jaguars are 2-0; the Screaming Eagles are 1-2. The Jaguars have won 1 of their last 5; the Screaming Eagles 0 of their last 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Evansville Purple Aces | L 76–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Belmont Bruins | L 54–72 | – | – | matchup |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UT Martin Skyhawks | W 75–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland State Vikings | L 93–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L 81–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies | L 74–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wright State Raiders | L 73–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
IU Indianapolis Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Screaming Eagles1-2 6th · L1
- Screaming Eagles rating1485 206th of 365, 2 games
- Jaguars2-0 2nd · W2
- Jaguars rating1369 343rd of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $USIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $IUINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the IU Indianapolis Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at IU Indianapolis Jaguars
Sign in to post a take on $USIMBBIUINMBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Southern Indiana 51% to win. Spread IU Indianapolis −1, total 145.5. Kalshi 27%, Polymarket 29% for Southern Indiana. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at IU Indianapolis Jaguars, Wed, Nov 11, 6:30 PM ET.