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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Ford Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs Evansville Purple Aces final score, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles or Evansville Purple Aces: the bandwagon

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Axle pregame 51–49Market –

Final · OTPregame: EVAN 49%Baseline: EVAN 28.8% (−19.9)Big swing: 84.5 ptsClutch window: 25:00
76+778+9
Score by period
Team12OTT
USI3534776
EVAN3039978
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at Evansville Purple Aces win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: OTFetched at
Win probability for EVAN: 23 points, 49% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:0045:00EVAN 100%USI 0%
Win probability for EVAN: 23 points, 49% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:0045:00EVAN 100%USI 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to EVAN+6.8 points for EVAN over the last 5:00
Big swing84.5 ptstoward EVAN at 39:55 of game time
Clutch window25:00within 5 points in the final half
BaselineEVAN 28.8%game average, −19.9 points from the pregame 48.7%

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs Evansville Purple Aces live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatUSIEVAN
Field goalsUSI25/66EVAN25/64
3-pointersUSI12/35EVAN15/39
Free throwsUSI14/30EVAN13/21
ReboundsUSI47EVAN45
AssistsUSI18EVAN18
TurnoversUSI8EVAN9
StealsUSI6EVAN5
BlocksUSI2EVAN7
Points in the paintUSI22EVAN20
Fast-break pointsUSI14EVAN13
FoulsUSI20EVAN22
Largest leadUSI8EVAN6

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs Evansville Purple Aces team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatUSIEVAN
ScoreUSI76EVAN78
Average win probabilityUSI71%EVAN29%
Longest scoring runUSI+1EVAN+3
Time leadingUSI2:32EVAN1:16

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs Evansville Purple Aces odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET
Screaming Eagles51%
Win chance
Purple Aces49%
SpreadEVAN −1closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline−106away / +106homeaway / home
Line movementEVAN win chance, 3 stored lines
No move
54%43%
Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET: EVAN 49%Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET: EVAN 49%Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET: EVAN 49%
9:55 PM10:22 PM
Every stored line
StoredEVAN winMove
Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET49%0
Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET49%0
Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET49%—
Ratings
EVAN 1383 · USI 1500
Home spread
−1
Stored
Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET · 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 76, Evansville Purple Aces 78. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Screaming EaglesPurple Aces
Neutrals only–
Screaming EaglesPurple Aces
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Purple Aces–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs Evansville Purple Aces prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Screaming Eagles the favorite, with a 51% chance to win; its spread is Purple Aces −1. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Purple Aces 1389 (327th of 365), Screaming Eagles 1485 (206th). The Purple Aces are 2-1; the Screaming Eagles are 1-2. The Purple Aces have won 2 of their last 5; the Screaming Eagles 0 of their last 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Evansville Purple AcesL 76–78––matchup
at Belmont BruinsL 54–72––matchup

Evansville Purple Aces

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 68–73––matchup
vs Southern Indiana Screaming EaglesW 78–76––matchup
at Northern Iowa PanthersL 59–68––matchup
vs Southern Illinois SalukisL 67–81––matchup
vs Valparaiso BeaconsW 80–79––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Evansville Purple Aces: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Screaming Eagles1-2 6th · L1
  • Screaming Eagles rating1485 206th of 365, 2 games
  • Purple Aces2-1 6th · L1
  • Purple Aces rating1389 327th of 365, 1 games

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 1-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Screaming Eagles roster, schedule and more

Evansville Purple Aces 2-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $EVANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $EVANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $EVANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $EVANMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Evansville Purple Aces bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Purple Aces roster, schedule and more

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