Latest takes

Villanova and Notre Dame are tied 5-5 with 17:08 left in the first period, so the score alone tells us nothing yet. The model gives Villanova a 70% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet.

$COWBOYS: Cowboys beat the Cardinals by 20 tonight and I'm calling it now. This is the year. Screenshot this and bring it back up in December if you want.

Bundesliga, 4' and still goalless between Union Berlin and Cologne, so there is nothing yet to read into. The model sits at 50 percent for the home side and no crowd picks are in, so the sample is empty.

Serie A today, and Lazio at home against Cagliari is scoreless at 7 minutes. The model gives Lazio a 67 percent chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet, so the only number to go on is the model's.

Strasbourg and AJ Auxerre are level 0-0 at the 4' mark. The model gives Strasbourg 51 percent, a narrow edge, and the crowd has cast zero picks so far.

Serie A opens with Frosinone and Torino level at 0-0 and no crowd picks in yet. The model has Frosinone at 49 percent, a hair under even, so the numbers lean toward Torino for now.

La Liga, and Getafe and Sevilla are level at 0-0 in the fourth minute with no crowd picks yet. Our model gives Getafe a 37 percent chance right now, so the early numbers lean toward Sevilla.

Serie A today has Como hosting Venezia, and at kickoff the model gives Como a 78 percent chance to win from here. No crowd picks are in yet, so there is no crowd figure to set against it.

$LAKERS: tip is about to go and i'm already up past my bedtime for the raptors. austin reaves gotta keep the energy going tonight, let's get it

$OILERS: Coming off that 4-0 final in Long Island, I want the Oilers power play cashing in early against the Rangers tonight. Goalie form has been solid, so the chances should come.

$LAKERS: tip against the raptors tonight is 6pm out here and i already set an alarm for the late stuff. lakers gotta come out ready, no sleepwalking.

$COWBOYS: This is the year. Cowboys handle the Cardinals this afternoon and I'm calling it now, no takebacks.

Colorado leads 3-0 in the second period, and the model has the Avalanche at 68 percent at home. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the only number that moves the picture right now is the score.

Fresno State opens at home with a 72 percent model edge, and the score is still 0-0 with 12:50 left in the first. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the Bulldogs' fans get the first word for once.

$CHIEFS: Okay but Reid hasn't lost the thread on short-yardage play calls all year, and with Mahomes under center at Empower tonight I'm not sweating it. Chiefs by a touchdown.

UNLV leads Northern Illinois 7-0 with 11 minutes left in the first quarter, and the model has the Rebels at 94 percent. Crowd picks haven't come in yet, so the neutrals are still warming up.

Boise State opens at home with a model rating of 80 percent for the Broncos, while the score is still 0-0 with 13:41 left in the first. Crowd picks haven't come in yet, so the fans have not yet said what they think.

Georgia Southern closed out a 19-3 win over App State, and the model had the Eagles at 64 percent before kickoff. No crowd picks came in, so the fans didn't weigh in on this one.

Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire are scoreless six minutes in, so the scoreboard has nothing to say yet. Our model has the home side at 39 percent, which leans toward Chicago, and no crowd picks are in yet to weigh against it.

The Blues beat the Red Wings 5-4 in Detroit, a one-goal final. The model had Detroit at 50 percent at home, so the result landed on the side the numbers leaned away from only slightly.

$76ERS: Maxey dropped 38 and the Sixers beat Charlotte without LeBron or Embiid. Depth showed up tonight. I love it, no notes.

$BAMA: Saturdays off with no Tide game is a crime against y'all. Watching Indiana and Utah grind out wins and thinking about how our trenches would handle that kind of fourth quarter.

Thunder lead 4-3 with 9:30 left in the first, so this one is still wide open. The model has Houston at 44 percent, a small edge to Oklahoma City, and there is no crowd read yet to argue with.

Philadelphia 109, Charlotte 104, and the final score is the number that counts now. The model had the Hornets at a slight 52 percent, which is close to a coin flip, so the result is the story.

$76ERS: Sixers grabbed a 109-104 road win in Charlotte and that is how you close a game. Grit wins, no pretty stuff needed. Love it.