La Liga, and Getafe and Sevilla are level at 0-0 in the fourth minute with no crowd picks yet. Our model gives Getafe a 37 percent chance right now, so the early numbers lean toward Sevilla.
LaLiga · · Estadio Coliseum · every La Liga line
Sevilla vs Getafe: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreSevilla 1, Getafe 3 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGetafe 37%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.3 each draw 29%
- Model spreadeven total 2.5
- Margin2 projected 0
- Total4 projected 2.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Sevilla or Getafe: the bandwagon
Axle 34–37Market –
FinalPregame: GET 52%Baseline: GET 39.8% (−11.7)Big swing: 44.0 ptsClutch window: 45:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEV | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GET | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
SEV 53%GET 47%
Sevilla at Getafe win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to GET+4.1 points for GET over the last 10:00
Big swing44.0 ptstoward GET at 78:00 of game time
Clutch window45:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineGET 39.8%game average, −11.7 points from the pregame 51.5%
Sevilla vs Getafe live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SEV | GET |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | SEV53% | GET47% |
| Shots | SEV12 | GET11 |
| Shots on target | SEV4 | GET5 |
| Corners | SEV2 | GET2 |
| Passes completed | SEV248/343 | GET199/297 |
| Saves | SEV2 | GET3 |
| Fouls | SEV18 | GET18 |
| Offsides | SEV2 | GET0 |
| Yellow cards | SEV4 | GET2 |
| Red cards | SEV1 | GET0 |
Sevilla vs Getafe team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SEV | GET |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEV1 | GET3 |
| Average win probability | SEV60% | GET40% |
| Longest scoring run | SEV+1 | GET+2 |
| Time leading | SEV50:00 | GET12:00 |
Sevilla vs Getafe odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET
Sevilla34%
Win chanceGetafe37%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total2.5
Moneyline+195away / +242draw / +171homeaway / draw / home
Line movementGET win chance, 10 stored lines
−1 pts for GET between Oct 29 and Nov 1
43%31%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | GET win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:16 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:56 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 5:55 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 37% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 38% | — |
- Ratings
- GET 1379 · SEV 1429
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-01 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Sevilla 1, Getafe 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In La Liga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 10:02 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
SevillaGetafe
Neutrals only–
SevillaGetafe
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Getafe–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Sevilla vs Getafe prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Getafe the favorite, with a 37% chance to win and a 29% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 2.5. Ratings: Getafe 1395 (15th of 20), Sevilla 1413 (11th). The Getafe are 3-5-3; the Sevilla are 5-4-2. The Getafe have won 2 of their last 5; the Sevilla 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Getafe won 2, the Sevilla 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Sevilla
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Getafe | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Osasuna | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Real Madrid | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Levante | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Barcelona | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Getafe
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sevilla | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Athletic Club | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rayo Vallecano | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Barcelona | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Málaga | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
Injuries
Sevilla: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Getafe: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sevilla5-4-2 6th
- Sevilla rating1413 11th of 20, 11 games
- Getafe3-5-3 13th
- Getafe rating1395 15th of 20, 11 games
Sevilla 5-4-2
La Liga · 6th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SEVILLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SEVILLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SEVILLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SEVILLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sevilla bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Getafe 3-5-3
La Liga · 13th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GETAFE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GETAFE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GETAFE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GETAFE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Getafe bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Sevilla at Getafe
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