Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire are scoreless six minutes in, so the scoreboard has nothing to say yet. Our model has the home side at 39 percent, which leans toward Chicago, and no crowd picks are in yet to weigh against it.
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Chicago Fire FC vs Colorado Rapids: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreChicago Fire FC 4, Colorado Rapids 2 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerColorado Rapids 39%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.5 each draw 28%
- Model spreadeven total 3
- Margin2 projected 0
- Total6 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chicago Fire FC or Colorado Rapids: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
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Axle 33–39Market –
FinalPregame: COL 53%Baseline: COL 48.6% (−4.5)Big swing: 43.5 ptsClutch window: 43:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| COL | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
CHI 42.7%COL 57.3%
Chicago Fire FC at Colorado Rapids win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to CHI−4.4 points for COL over the last 10:00
Big swing43.5 ptstoward CHI at 75:00 of game time
Clutch window43:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineCOL 48.6%game average, −4.5 points from the pregame 53.0%
Chicago Fire FC vs Colorado Rapids live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CHI | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | CHI42.7% | COL57.3% |
| Shots | CHI14 | COL14 |
| Shots on target | CHI6 | COL4 |
| Corners | CHI6 | COL5 |
| Passes completed | CHI296/377 | COL443/507 |
| Saves | CHI2 | COL2 |
| Fouls | CHI13 | COL11 |
| Offsides | CHI5 | COL0 |
| Yellow cards | CHI2 | COL4 |
| Red cards | CHI0 | COL0 |
Chicago Fire FC vs Colorado Rapids team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CHI | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI4 | COL2 |
| Average win probability | CHI51% | COL49% |
| Longest scoring run | CHI+2 | COL+1 |
| Time leading | CHI17:00 | COL18:00 |
Chicago Fire FC vs Colorado Rapids odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 7:12 PM ET
Chicago Fire FC33%
Win chanceColorado Rapids39%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+201away / +262draw / +155homeaway / draw / home
Line movementCOL win chance, 11 stored lines
−14 pts for COL between Oct 29 and Oct 31
59%31%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | COL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:12 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:12 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:11 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:06 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 39% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 36% | −17 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 53% | — |
- Ratings
- COL 1465 · CHI 1528
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 31, 7:12 PM ET · 2026-10-31 23:12 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Chicago Fire FC 4, Colorado Rapids 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:31 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Chicago Fire FCColorado Rapids
Neutrals only–
Chicago Fire FCColorado Rapids
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Colorado Rapids–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Chicago Fire FC vs Colorado Rapids prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Colorado Rapids the favorite, with a 39% chance to win and a 28% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3. Ratings: Colorado Rapids 1450 (23rd of 30), Chicago Fire FC 1543 (5th). The Colorado Rapids are 12-14-7; the Chicago Fire FC are 16-10-7. The Colorado Rapids have won 1 of their last 5; the Chicago Fire FC 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chicago Fire FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Colorado Rapids | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Orlando City SC | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta United FC | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New England Revolution | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia Union | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Colorado Rapids
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Fire FC | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Earthquakes | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Whitecaps | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Timbers | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota United FC | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Chicago Fire FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Colorado Rapids: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chicago Fire FC16-10-7 4th
- Chicago Fire FC rating1543 5th of 30, 33 games
- Colorado Rapids12-14-7 9th
- Colorado Rapids rating1450 23rd of 30, 33 games
Chicago Fire FC 16-10-7
Major League Soccer · 4th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHICAGO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHICAGO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHICAGO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CHICAGO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Fire FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Colorado Rapids 12-14-7
Major League Soccer · 9th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $COLORADO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $COLORADO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $COLORADO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $COLORADO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado Rapids bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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