Serie A opens with Frosinone and Torino level at 0-0 and no crowd picks in yet. The model has Frosinone at 49 percent, a hair under even, so the numbers lean toward Torino for now.
Serie A · · Benito Stirpe Stadium · every Serie A line
Torino vs Frosinone: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreTorino 0, Frosinone 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerFrosinone 49%
- Pregame Projected scoreFrosinone 2.0, Torino 1.5
- Model spreadFrosinone −0.5 total 3.5
- Margin2 projected 0.5
- Total2 projected 3.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Torino or Frosinone: the bandwagon
Axle 23–49Market –
FinalPregame: FRO 63%Baseline: FRO 75.5% (+12.7)Big swing: 27.9 ptsClutch window: 45:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FRO | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
TOR 54.3%FRO 45.7%
Torino at Frosinone win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to FRO+3.6 points for FRO over the last 10:00
Big swing27.9 ptstoward FRO at 49:00 of game time
Clutch window45:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineFRO 75.5%game average, +12.7 points from the pregame 62.8%
Torino vs Frosinone live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TOR | FRO |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | TOR54.3% | FRO45.7% |
| Shots | TOR12 | FRO20 |
| Shots on target | TOR3 | FRO8 |
| Corners | TOR7 | FRO7 |
| Passes completed | TOR265/360 | FRO206/304 |
| Saves | TOR4 | FRO3 |
| Fouls | TOR13 | FRO14 |
| Offsides | TOR3 | FRO3 |
| Yellow cards | TOR3 | FRO1 |
| Red cards | TOR0 | FRO0 |
Torino vs Frosinone team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TOR | FRO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TOR0 | FRO2 |
| Average win probability | TOR25% | FRO75% |
| Longest scoring run | TOR+0 | FRO+1 |
| Time leading | TOR0:00 | FRO41:00 |
Torino vs Frosinone odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 8:29 AM ET
Torino23%
Win chanceFrosinone49%
SpreadFRO −0.5closing model spread
Total3.5
Moneyline+326away / +263draw / +104homeaway / draw / home
Line movementFRO win chance, 13 stored lines
−5 pts for FRO between Oct 29 and Nov 1
62%43%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | FRO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 8:29 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:29 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:46 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:56 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:01 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 49% | −7 |
| Oct 29, 5:53 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 3:34 PM ET | 56% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 54% | — |
- Ratings
- FRO 1455 · TOR 1407
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 8:29 AM ET · 2026-11-01 13:29 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Torino 0, Frosinone 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Serie A a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 10:02 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
TorinoFrosinone
Neutrals only–
TorinoFrosinone
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Frosinone–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Torino vs Frosinone prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Frosinone a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 49% chance to win and a 28% chance of a draw. The model total is 3.5. Ratings: Frosinone 1465 (9th of 20), Torino 1396 (13th). The Frosinone are 6-2-2; the Torino are 4-5-1. The Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5; the Torino 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Frosinone won 0, the Torino 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Torino
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Frosinone | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Como | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Monza | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Parma | W 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Udinese | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Frosinone
Head-to-head
Injuries
Torino: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Frosinone: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Torino4-5-1 10th
- Torino rating1396 13th of 20, 10 games
- Frosinone6-2-2 6th
- Frosinone rating1465 9th of 20, 10 games
Torino 4-5-1
Serie A · 10th
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TORINO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TORINO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TORINO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TORINO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Torino bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Frosinone 6-2-2
Serie A · 6th
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FROSINONE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FROSINONE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FROSINONE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $FROSINONE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Frosinone bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Torino at Frosinone
Sign in to post a take on $TORINOFROSINONE261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.