NBAPOR 118 PHX 101· 5:12 - 4thNBATOR 109 DEN 128· 0.0 - 4thNBADAL 57 SA 73· 7:22 - 3rdNHLCGY 1 SEA 1· 4:35 - 2ndNBALAL 61 SAC 54· HalftimeCBBMILW 50 SCU 79· 10:34 - 2ndCBBNDSU 48 SMC 83· 7:52 - 2ndWCBBSMC 45 STAN 67· 9:35 - 4thNHLSJ 1 LA 3· 10:47 - 2ndNBAMIA 45 LAC 63· 2:48 - 2ndWCBBUNF–FSU11:00 AMWCBBHAMP–SMU12:00 PMWCBBM-OH–SEMO12:00 PMWCBBSTBK–IONA1:00 PMWCBBUNT–SDSU2:00 PMWCBBHAW–SF3:00 PMWCBBUIC–RMU4:00 PMWCBBUCF–FLA4:30 PMCBBMCN–UNT5:00 PMCBBWAKE–VAN6:00 PMWCBBCLT–TTU6:00 PMWCBBDART–HC6:00 PMWCBBMSM–UMBC6:00 PMCBBCHST–UIW6:00 PMCBBBELL–IU6:00 PMCBBUTC–PSU6:00 PMWCBBMRST–BRY6:00 PMWCBBCAN–UNH6:00 PMWCBBMRMK–NJIT6:00 PMWCBBUWF–WCU6:00 PMWCBBPRES–WAKE6:00 PMWCBBSIE–ME6:00 PMWCBBCCSU–JMU6:00 PMWCBBSIUE–IUIN6:30 PMWCBBCONN–MICH6:30 PMWCBBNKU–UK6:30 PMWCBBCMU–OSU6:30 PMWCBBLIP–BTLR6:30 PMCBBLIU–HALL6:30 PMWCBBMAN–UALB6:30 PMAll scores
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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
Serie A · · Benito Stirpe Stadium · every Serie A line

Lecce vs Frosinone: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 1.1 · Updated

Lecce or Frosinone: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 19–59Market –

FinalPregame: FRO 70%Baseline: FRO 88.1% (+18.1)Big swing: 20.2 ptsClutch window: none
Record 3-7
1+15+3
Record 6-2-2
Score by period
Team12T
LEC011
FRO235
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
LEC 40.4%FRO 59.6%

Lecce at Frosinone win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for FRO: 85 points, 70% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'FRO 100%LEC 0%
Win probability for FRO: 85 points, 70% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'FRO 100%LEC 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for FRO over the last 10:00
Big swing20.2 ptstoward FRO at 26:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineFRO 88.1%game average, +18.1 points from the pregame 70.0%

Lecce vs Frosinone live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatLECFRO
PossessionLEC40.4%FRO59.6%
ShotsLEC15FRO26
Shots on targetLEC6FRO9
CornersLEC3FRO10
Passes completedLEC144/246FRO257/362
SavesLEC4FRO5
FoulsLEC17FRO10
OffsidesLEC0FRO4
Yellow cardsLEC3FRO0
Red cardsLEC0FRO0

Lecce vs Frosinone team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatLECFRO
ScoreLEC1FRO5
Average win probabilityLEC12%FRO88%
Longest scoring runLEC+1FRO+4
Time leadingLEC0:00FRO64:00

Lecce vs Frosinone odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 1.1 · updated Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET
Lecce19%
Win chance
Frosinone59%
Draw 21%
SpreadFRO −1closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+416away / +370draw / −146homeaway / draw / home
Line movementFRO win chance, 3 stored lines
No move
65%54%
Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET: FRO 59%Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: FRO 59%Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: FRO 59%
1:03 AM6:01 AM
Every stored line
StoredFRO winMove
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET59%0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET59%0
Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET59%—
Ratings
FRO 1435 · LEC 1340
Home spread
−1
Stored
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET · 2026-10-29 10:01 UTC
Version
Axle 1.1

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Lecce 1, Frosinone 5. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

The inputs behind this line were not recorded (it was stored before model 2.0). Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

LecceFrosinone
Neutrals only–
LecceFrosinone
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Frosinone–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Lecce vs Frosinone prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Frosinone a 1-point favorite at home, with a 59% chance to win and a 21% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Frosinone 1465 (9th of 20), Lecce 1337 (18th). The Frosinone are 6-2-2; the Lecce are 3-7. The Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5; the Lecce 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Frosinone won 0, the Lecce 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Lecce

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs GenoaL 1–2––matchup
at FrosinoneL 1–5––matchup
vs JuventusL 0–2––matchup
at UdineseW 3–0––matchup
vs BolognaL 1–2––matchup

Frosinone

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs TorinoW 2–0––matchup
vs LecceW 5–1––matchup
at AtalantaT 4–4––matchup
vs SassuoloW 4–2––matchup
at NapoliL 0–3––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Lecce at Frosinone1–1––matchup
Frosinone at Lecce1–2––matchup

Injuries

Lecce: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Frosinone: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lecce3-7 14th
  • Lecce rating1337 18th of 20, 10 games
  • Frosinone6-2-2 6th
  • Frosinone rating1465 9th of 20, 10 games

Lecce 3-7

Serie A · 14th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LECCE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LECCE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LECCE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LECCE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lecce bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lecce roster, schedule and more

Frosinone 6-2-2

Serie A · 6th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FROSINONE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FROSINONE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FROSINONE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FROSINONE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Frosinone bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Frosinone roster, schedule and more

Takes on Lecce at Frosinone

Sign in to post a take on $LECCEFROSINONE261029: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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