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Syracuse and SMU are scoreless with 10:54 left in the first, and the only number worth a look is the model's 14 percent for the home side. The Orange fans haven't picked a side yet, so the hometown optimism is still on the bench.

Western Michigan opens at home with the model giving the Broncos an 85 percent chance, while the score is still 0-0 and the crowd hasn't weighed in yet. Bowling Green's fans will say it's early, and they're right about that.

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