Coventry City sit on 41 percent in the model with the score 0-0 and Sunderland holding the edge on the numbers. No crowd picks are in yet, so the supporters have not weighed in on the table at all.
Premier League · · Coventry Building Society Arena · every Premier League line
Sunderland vs Coventry City: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreSunderland 1, Coventry City 3 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerCoventry City 41%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.3 each draw 28%
- Model spreadeven total 2.5
- Margin2 projected 0
- Total4 projected 2.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Sunderland or Coventry City: the bandwagon
Axle 31–41Market 40–31
FinalPregame: COV 55%Baseline: COV 85.7% (+30.7)Big swing: 24.6 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUN | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| COV | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
SUN 56.6%COV 43.4%
Sunderland at Coventry City win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for COV over the last 10:00
Big swing24.6 ptstoward COV at 18:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineCOV 85.7%game average, +30.7 points from the pregame 55.0%
Sunderland vs Coventry City live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SUN | COV |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | SUN56.6% | COV43.4% |
| Shots | SUN17 | COV12 |
| Shots on target | SUN2 | COV4 |
| Corners | SUN4 | COV4 |
| Passes completed | SUN356/439 | COV256/339 |
| Saves | SUN1 | COV1 |
| Fouls | SUN9 | COV16 |
| Offsides | SUN1 | COV2 |
| Yellow cards | SUN0 | COV2 |
| Red cards | SUN1 | COV0 |
Sunderland vs Coventry City team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SUN | COV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SUN1 | COV3 |
| Average win probability | SUN14% | COV86% |
| Longest scoring run | SUN+1 | COV+3 |
| Time leading | SUN0:00 | COV72:00 |
Sunderland vs Coventry City model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Sunderland31%
Win chanceCoventry City41%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total2.5
Moneyline+222away / +258draw / +144homeaway / draw / home
Line movementCOV win chance, 7 stored lines
No move
47%36%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | COV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 41% | — |
- Ratings
- COV 1363 · SUN 1387
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Sunderland 1, Coventry City 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Premier League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
SunderlandCoventry City
Neutrals only–
SunderlandCoventry City
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Coventry City–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Sunderland vs Coventry City odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Premier League marketKalshi had Coventry City at 31% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 32% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 41% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | SUN | Draw | COV | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 30% | 31% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 40% | 29% | 32% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 31% | 28% | 41% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, COV: −10Polymarket minus model, COV: −9
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Sunderland vs Coventry City prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Coventry City the favorite, with a 41% chance to win and a 28% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 2.5. Ratings: Coventry City 1377 (17th of 20), Sunderland 1373 (18th). The Coventry City are 3-6; the Sunderland are 1-6-2. The Coventry City have won 3 of their last 5; the Sunderland 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Sunderland
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Coventry City | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Leeds United | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at AFC Bournemouth | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brighton & Hove Albion | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manchester City | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup |
Coventry City
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sunderland | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fulham | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tottenham Hotspur | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Newcastle United | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nottingham Forest | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Sunderland: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Coventry City: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sunderland1-6-2 20th
- Sunderland rating1373 18th of 20, 9 games
- Coventry City3-6 16th
- Coventry City rating1377 17th of 20, 9 games
Sunderland 1-6-2
Premier League · 20th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SUNDERLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SUNDERLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SUNDERLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SUNDERLAND: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sunderland bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Coventry City 3-6
Premier League · 16th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $COVENTRY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $COVENTRY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $COVENTRY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $COVENTRY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Coventry City bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Sunderland at Coventry City
Sign in to post a take on $SUNDERLANDCOVENTRY261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Sunderland 1, Coventry City 3. Bandwagon's model had the Coventry City at 41% and projected level, 1.3 each; spread even, total 2.5. Last read: Kalshi 31%, Polymarket 32% for Coventry City.