Brentford and Forest are level at 0-0 five minutes in, and the model has the home side at 50 percent with nothing to separate them. No crowd picks are in yet, so the supporters have not weighed in.
Premier League · · Griffin Park · every Premier League line
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreNottingham Forest 0, Brentford 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBrentford 50%
- Pregame Projected scoreBrentford 1.5, Nottingham Forest 1.0
- Model spreadBrentford −0.5 total 2.5
- Margin2 projected 0.5
- Total2 projected 2.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Nottingham Forest or Brentford: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 24–50Market 28–45
FinalPregame: BRE 63%Baseline: BRE 81.2% (+18.1)Big swing: 23.8 ptsClutch window: 32:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NFO | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BRE | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
NFO 58.3%BRE 41.7%
Nottingham Forest at Brentford win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for BRE over the last 10:00
Big swing23.8 ptstoward BRE at 30:00 of game time
Clutch window32:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineBRE 81.2%game average, +18.1 points from the pregame 63.1%
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NFO | BRE |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | NFO58.3% | BRE41.7% |
| Shots | NFO15 | BRE7 |
| Shots on target | NFO1 | BRE1 |
| Corners | NFO4 | BRE3 |
| Passes completed | NFO365/476 | BRE241/339 |
| Saves | NFO0 | BRE1 |
| Fouls | NFO17 | BRE6 |
| Offsides | NFO1 | BRE1 |
| Yellow cards | NFO3 | BRE1 |
| Red cards | NFO0 | BRE0 |
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NFO | BRE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NFO0 | BRE2 |
| Average win probability | NFO19% | BRE81% |
| Longest scoring run | NFO+0 | BRE+2 |
| Time leading | NFO0:00 | BRE60:00 |
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Nottingham Forest24%
Win chanceBrentford50%
SpreadBRE −0.5closing model spread
Total2.5
Moneyline+320away / +283draw / −100homeaway / draw / home
Line movementBRE win chance, 7 stored lines
+2 pts for BRE between Oct 28 and Oct 31
56%42%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | BRE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 50% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 48% | — |
- Ratings
- BRE 1448 · NFO 1406
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Nottingham Forest 0, Brentford 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Premier League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Nottingham ForestBrentford
Neutrals only–
Nottingham ForestBrentford
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Brentford–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Premier League marketKalshi had Brentford at 45% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 45% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 50% when last read, .
| Source | NFO | Draw | BRE | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 28% | 26% | 45% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 28% | 26% | 45% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 24% | 26% | 50% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, BRE: −5Polymarket minus model, BRE: −5
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Brentford a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 50% chance to win and a 26% chance of a draw. The model total is 2.5. Ratings: Brentford 1459 (8th of 20), Nottingham Forest 1395 (16th). The Brentford are 3-1-5; the Nottingham Forest are 1-5-3. The Brentford have won 2 of their last 5; the Nottingham Forest 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Brentford won 2, the Nottingham Forest 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Brentford | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ipswich Town | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arsenal | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Crystal Palace | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coventry City | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup |
Brentford
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Nottingham Forest | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hull City | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liverpool | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Aston Villa | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chelsea | W 3–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest at Brentford | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brentford at Nottingham Forest | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brentford at Nottingham Forest | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nottingham Forest at Brentford | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nottingham Forest at Brentford | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brentford at Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Nottingham Forest: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Brentford: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Nottingham Forest1-5-3 19th
- Nottingham Forest rating1395 16th of 20, 9 games
- Brentford3-1-5 6th
- Brentford rating1459 8th of 20, 9 games
Nottingham Forest 1-5-3
Premier League · 19th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NOTTMFOREST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NOTTMFOREST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NOTTMFOREST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NOTTMFOREST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nottingham Forest bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Brentford 3-1-5
Premier League · 6th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRENTFORD
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BRENTFORD
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BRENTFORD
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BRENTFORD: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Brentford bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Nottingham Forest at Brentford
Sign in to post a take on $NOTTMFORESTBRENTFO261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Nottingham Forest 0, Brentford 2. Bandwagon's model had the Brentford at 50% and projected Brentford 1.5, Nottingham Forest 1.0; spread Brentford −0.5, total 2.5. Last read: Kalshi 45%, Polymarket 45% for Brentford.