Still 0-0 at 6 minutes, and there are no crowd picks yet to read. The model has Schalke 04 at 29 percent, which puts RB Leipzig ahead on the numbers right now.
Bundesliga · · Arena AufSchalke · every Bundesliga line
RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreRB Leipzig 2, Schalke 04 0 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerRB Leipzig 43%
- Pregame Projected scoreRB Leipzig 1.8, Schalke 04 1.3
- Model spreadRB Leipzig −0.5 total 3
- Margin2 projected 0.5
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
RB Leipzig or Schalke 04: the bandwagon
Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 43–29Market –
FinalPregame: S04 43%Baseline: S04 23.5% (−19.4)Big swing: 27.1 ptsClutch window: 33:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| RBL | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| S04 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
RBL 60.4%S04 39.6%
RB Leipzig at Schalke 04 win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.1 points for S04 over the last 10:00
Big swing27.1 ptstoward RBL at 37:00 of game time
Clutch window33:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineS04 23.5%game average, −19.4 points from the pregame 42.8%
RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04 live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | RBL | S04 |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | RBL60.4% | S0439.6% |
| Shots | RBL18 | S046 |
| Shots on target | RBL10 | S041 |
| Corners | RBL7 | S043 |
| Passes completed | RBL480/559 | S04300/362 |
| Saves | RBL1 | S048 |
| Fouls | RBL16 | S0416 |
| Offsides | RBL4 | S041 |
| Yellow cards | RBL0 | S042 |
| Red cards | RBL0 | S040 |
RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04 team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | RBL | S04 |
|---|---|---|
| Score | RBL2 | S040 |
| Average win probability | RBL77% | S0423% |
| Longest scoring run | RBL+3 | S04+0 |
| Time leading | RBL53:00 | S040:00 |
RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04 odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
RB Leipzig43%
Win chanceSchalke 0429%
SpreadRBL −0.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+133away / +251draw / +250homeaway / draw / home
Line movementS04 win chance, 7 stored lines
−4 pts for S04 between Oct 29 and Oct 31
38%23%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | S04 win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 5:25 PM ET | 29% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 28% | −5 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 33% | — |
- Ratings
- S04 1399 · RBL 1511
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: RB Leipzig 2, Schalke 04 0. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Bundesliga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
RB LeipzigSchalke 04
Neutrals only–
RB LeipzigSchalke 04
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Schalke 04–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
RB Leipzig vs Schalke 04 prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the RB Leipzig a 0.5-point favorite, with a 43% chance to win and a 29% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Schalke 04 1385 (15th of 18), RB Leipzig 1525 (3rd). The Schalke 04 are 1-4-3; the RB Leipzig are 5-3. The Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5; the RB Leipzig 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Schalke 04 won 0, the RB Leipzig 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
RB Leipzig
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Manchester City | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Schalke 04 | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SV Elversberg | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Real Madrid | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bayern Munich | L 1–6 | – | – | matchup |
Schalke 04
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RB Leipzig | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at FC Cologne | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mainz | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SC Freiburg | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SV Elversberg | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 at RB Leipzig | 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| RB Leipzig at Schalke 04 | 6–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
RB Leipzig: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Schalke 04: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- RB Leipzig5-3 4th
- RB Leipzig rating1525 3rd of 18, 8 games
- Schalke 041-4-3 17th
- Schalke 04 rating1385 15th of 18, 8 games
RB Leipzig 5-3
Bundesliga · 4th
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $RBLEIPZIG
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RBLEIPZIG
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RBLEIPZIG
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
1 stance today on $RBLEIPZIG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the RB Leipzig bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Schalke 04 1-4-3
Bundesliga · 17th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCHALKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCHALKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCHALKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SCHALKE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Schalke 04 bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on RB Leipzig at Schalke 04
Sign in to post a take on $RBLEIPZIGSCHALKE261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: RB Leipzig 2, Schalke 04 0. Bandwagon's model had the RB Leipzig at 43% and projected RB Leipzig 1.8, Schalke 04 1.3; spread RB Leipzig −0.5, total 3.