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Bundesliga · · Arena AufSchalke · every Bundesliga line

Mainz vs Schalke 04: final score and how the prediction did, October 17, 2026

Mainz or Schalke 04: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 3-4-1
10
Record 1-4-3
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Mainz at Schalke 04 win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Mainz vs Schalke 04 live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Mainz vs Schalke 04 team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatM05S04
ScoreM051S040
Average win probabilityM05–S04–
Longest scoring runM05–S04–
Time leadingM05–S04–

Mainz vs Schalke 04 odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

MainzSchalke 04
Neutrals only–
MainzSchalke 04
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Schalke 04–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Mainz vs Schalke 04 prediction

Ratings: Schalke 04 1385 (15th of 18), Mainz 1399 (13th). The Schalke 04 are 1-4-3; the Mainz are 3-4-1. The Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5; the Mainz 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Schalke 04 won 2, the Mainz 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Mainz

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at SV ElversbergL 1–4––matchup
vs Werder BremenL 2–3––matchup
at Schalke 04W 1–0––matchup
vs Bayer LeverkusenL 3–4––matchup
at Borussia MönchengladbachW 4–3––matchup

Schalke 04

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs RB LeipzigL 0–2––matchup
at FC CologneT 0–0––matchup
vs MainzL 0–1––matchup
at SC FreiburgL 1–2––matchup
vs SV ElversbergT 0–0––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Schalke 04 at Mainz3–2––matchup
Mainz at Schalke 040–1––matchup

Injuries

Mainz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Schalke 04: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mainz3-4-1 9th
  • Mainz rating1399 13th of 18, 8 games
  • Schalke 041-4-3 17th
  • Schalke 04 rating1385 15th of 18, 8 games

Mainz 3-4-1

Bundesliga · 9th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MAINZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MAINZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MAINZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MAINZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mainz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mainz roster, schedule and more

Schalke 04 1-4-3

Bundesliga · 17th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCHALKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCHALKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCHALKE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SCHALKE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Schalke 04 bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Schalke 04 roster, schedule and more

Takes on Mainz at Schalke 04

Sign in to post a take on $MAINZSCHALKE261017: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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