Hull City and Ipswich Town are level at 0-0 in the fourth minute, and the model has the home side just ahead at 51 percent. The crowd has not picked yet, so there is no supporter number to set against it.
Premier League · · MKM Stadium · every Premier League line
Ipswich Town vs Hull City: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreIpswich Town 2, Hull City 2 a draw
- Pregame Projected winnerHull City 51%
- Pregame Projected scoreHull City 1.8, Ipswich Town 1.3
- Model spreadHull City −0.5 total 3
- Margin0 projected 0.5
- Total4 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Ipswich Town or Hull City: the bandwagon
Axle 23–51Market 41–32
FinalPregame: HUL 64%Baseline: HUL 48.2% (−15.9)Big swing: 38.8 ptsClutch window: 45:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPS | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| HUL | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
IPS 61.5%HUL 38.5%
Ipswich Town at Hull City win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to IPS−4.0 points for HUL over the last 10:00
Big swing38.8 ptstoward HUL at 60:00 of game time
Clutch window45:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineHUL 48.2%game average, −15.9 points from the pregame 64.1%
Ipswich Town vs Hull City live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | IPS | HUL |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | IPS61.5% | HUL38.5% |
| Shots | IPS15 | HUL9 |
| Shots on target | IPS3 | HUL3 |
| Corners | IPS3 | HUL6 |
| Passes completed | IPS489/560 | HUL245/335 |
| Saves | IPS1 | HUL1 |
| Fouls | IPS12 | HUL13 |
| Offsides | IPS3 | HUL4 |
| Yellow cards | IPS3 | HUL3 |
| Red cards | IPS0 | HUL0 |
Ipswich Town vs Hull City team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | IPS | HUL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | IPS2 | HUL2 |
| Average win probability | IPS52% | HUL48% |
| Longest scoring run | IPS+1 | HUL+2 |
| Time leading | IPS37:00 | HUL6:00 |
Ipswich Town vs Hull City model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Ipswich Town23%
Win chanceHull City51%
SpreadHUL −0.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+334away / +288draw / −105homeaway / draw / home
Line movementHUL win chance, 7 stored lines
+7 pts for HUL between Oct 28 and Oct 31
57%39%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | HUL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | +7 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 44% | — |
- Ratings
- HUL 1412 · IPS 1362
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Ipswich Town 2, Hull City 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Premier League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Ipswich TownHull City
Neutrals only–
Ipswich TownHull City
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Hull City–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Ipswich Town vs Hull City odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Premier League marketKalshi had Hull City at 31% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 32% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 51% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | IPS | Draw | HUL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 28% | 31% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 41% | 28% | 32% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 23% | 26% | 51% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, HUL: −20Polymarket minus model, HUL: −20
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Ipswich Town vs Hull City prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hull City a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 51% chance to win and a 26% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Hull City 1409 (14th of 20), Ipswich Town 1365 (19th). The Hull City are 2-2-5; the Ipswich Town are 3-4-2. The Hull City have won 0 of their last 5; the Ipswich Town 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Ipswich Town
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Hull City | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nottingham Forest | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manchester City | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fulham | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Everton | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup |
Hull City
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ipswich Town | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brentford | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fulham | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Everton | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Newcastle United | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Ipswich Town: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Hull City: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Ipswich Town3-4-2 13th
- Ipswich Town rating1365 19th of 20, 9 games
- Hull City2-2-5 10th
- Hull City rating1409 14th of 20, 9 games
Ipswich Town 3-4-2
Premier League · 13th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IPSWICH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IPSWICH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IPSWICH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $IPSWICH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ipswich Town bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Hull City 2-2-5
Premier League · 10th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HULL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HULL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HULL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $HULL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hull City bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ipswich Town at Hull City
Sign in to post a take on $IPSWICHHULL261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Ipswich Town 2, Hull City 2. Bandwagon's model had the Hull City at 51% and projected Hull City 1.8, Ipswich Town 1.3; spread Hull City −0.5, total 3. Last read: Kalshi 31%, Polymarket 32% for Hull City.