Serie A odds, Nov 16–22, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 9 Serie A games Nov 16–22, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Lazio at 74%, against Lecce; its closest game is Genoa at Sassuolo, 36%–35%. The largest gap with a market is AS Roma at Parma: the model gives AS Roma 66% and Polymarket 74% (8 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
Serie A Nov 16–22, 2026 slate
9 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari at Como | Como 68% draw 20% | Como −1 | 2.5 | Como 75% | Como 74% | – | – | |
| Lecce at Lazio | Lazio 74% draw 17% | Lazio −1.5 | 3 | Lazio 72% | Lazio 72% | – | – | |
| AS Roma at Parma | AS Roma 66% draw 21% | AS Roma −1 | 3 | AS Roma 73% | AS Roma 74% | – | – | |
| Torino at Napoli | Napoli 63% draw 22% | Napoli −1 | 2.5 | Napoli 67% | Napoli 66% | – | – | |
| Venezia at Juventus | Juventus 71% draw 18% | Juventus −1.5 | 2.5 | Juventus 72% | Juventus 72% | – | – | |
| Genoa at Sassuolo | Sassuolo 35% draw 30% | even | 3 | Sassuolo 38% | Sassuolo 38% | – | – | |
| Udinese at Bologna | Bologna 63% draw 22% | Bologna −1 | 3 | Bologna 57% | Bologna 56% | – | – | |
| Frosinone at AC Milan | AC Milan 58% draw 25% | AC Milan −1 | 3.5 | AC Milan 62% | AC Milan 62% | – | – | |
| Internazionale at Atalanta | Internazionale 59% draw 24% | Internazionale −0.5 | 3.5 | Internazionale 61% | Internazionale 61% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.