Super Bowl odds on Kalshi and Polymarket, NFL win totals and the Bandwagon model
Title and win-total prices beside the model's rank. NFL games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each NFL team to win the title and to win more than a set number of regular-season games, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Super Bowl odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
32 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals | Win total Kalshi | Win total Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 14% Kalshi · | 14% Polymarket · | #1 market · #4 ratings | – | 52% over 12.5 Kalshi · | 87% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Buffalo Bills | 14% Kalshi · | 13% Polymarket · | #2 market · #1 ratings | – | 59% over 12.5 Kalshi · | 81% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Chicago Bears | 12% Kalshi · | 12% Polymarket · | #3 market · #6 ratings | – | 59% over 11.5 Kalshi · | 90% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.5% Kalshi · | 8.8% Polymarket · | #4 market · #13 ratings | – | 43% over 11.5 Kalshi · | 63% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7.5% Kalshi · | 7.9% Polymarket · | #5 market · #7 ratings | – | 60% over 11.5 Kalshi · | 72% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6.5% Kalshi · | 7% Polymarket · | #6 market · #9 ratings | – | 53% over 9.5 Kalshi · | 16% over 11.5 Polymarket · |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6.5% Kalshi · | 4.5% Polymarket · | #7 market · #3 ratings | – | 60% over 9.5 Kalshi · | 43% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5.5% Kalshi · | 4.9% Polymarket · | #8 market · #12 ratings | – | 53% over 11.5 Kalshi · | 85% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| Denver Broncos | 4.5% Kalshi · | 4.4% Polymarket · | #9 market · #2 ratings | – | 54% over 11.5 Kalshi · | 84% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| Detroit Lions | 4.5% Kalshi · | 3.9% Polymarket · | #10 market · #10 ratings | – | 58% over 10.5 Kalshi · | 59% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3.5% Kalshi · | 3% Polymarket · | #11 market · #5 ratings | – | 55% over 10.5 Kalshi · | 90% over 8.5 Polymarket · |
| New England Patriots | 3.5% Kalshi · | 3.1% Polymarket · | #12 market · #8 ratings | – | 43% over 10.5 Kalshi · | 63% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.5% Polymarket · | #13 market · #14 ratings | – | 55% over 9.5 Kalshi · | 33% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.5% Kalshi · | 2% Polymarket · | #14 market · #11 ratings | – | 50% over 10.5 Kalshi · | 84% over 8.5 Polymarket · |
| Houston Texans | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.8% Polymarket · | #15 market · #15 ratings | – | 45% over 8.5 Kalshi · | 28% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.4% Polymarket · | #16 market · #20 ratings | – | 56% over 7.5 Kalshi · | 23% over 9.5 Polymarket · |
| New York Giants | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.2% Polymarket · | #17 market · #18 ratings | – | 51% over 8.5 Kalshi · | 67% over 7.5 Polymarket · |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.9% Polymarket · | #18 market · #17 ratings | – | 50% over 7.5 Kalshi · | 28% over 8.5 Polymarket · |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #19 market · #19 ratings | – | 41% over 7.5 Kalshi · | 44% over 7.5 Polymarket · |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #20 market · #23 ratings | – | 46% over 7.5 Kalshi · | 51% over 7.5 Polymarket · |
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #21 market · #16 ratings | – | 61% over 6.5 Kalshi · | 3% over 11.5 Polymarket · |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #22 market · #29 ratings | – | 40% over 6.5 Kalshi · | 84% over 4.5 Polymarket · |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.4% Polymarket · | #23 market · #21 ratings | – | 53% over 8.5 Kalshi · | 88% over 6.5 Polymarket · |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #24 market · #26 ratings | – | 41% over 5.5 Kalshi · | 13% over 7.5 Polymarket · |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #25 market · #25 ratings | – | 54% over 7.5 Kalshi · | 89% over 5.5 Polymarket · |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #26 market · #28 ratings | – | 42% over 4.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #27 market · #30 ratings | – | 46% over 3.5 Kalshi · | 28% over 4.5 Polymarket · |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #28 market · #27 ratings | – | 37% over 6.5 Kalshi · | 26% over 7.5 Polymarket · |
| New York Jets | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #29 market · #31 ratings | – | 60% over 4.5 Kalshi · | 39% over 5.5 Polymarket · |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.3% Polymarket · | #30 market · #24 ratings | – | 41% over 5.5 Kalshi · | 5% over 10.5 Polymarket · |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #31 market · #32 ratings | – | 49% over 3.5 Kalshi · | 10% over 6.5 Polymarket · |
| Washington Commanders | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #32 market · #22 ratings | – | 47% over 6.5 Kalshi · | 29% over 7.5 Polymarket · |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 105%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 100%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here. The win total shown is the line each source prices nearest even; lines differ between sources.
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Super Bowl odds on Kalshi and Polymarket: NFL championship and regular-season win-total prices from Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.