CBBFDU–ETAM11:30 AMWCBBHCU–UNT12:00 PMCBBKC–FAMU12:00 PMWCBBUIW–UTSA12:00 PMWCBBUSA–FAU1:00 PMCBBDART–UALB1:00 PMWCBBBCU–BYU1:00 PMCBBUIW–UCD2:00 PMWCBBQUIN–SJU2:00 PMCBBJOES–USF3:00 PMCBBLUC–AF3:00 PMWCBBORE–UVM4:00 PMCBBNCAT–ECU4:00 PMWCBBMERC–SBU4:30 PMCBBBCU–SDSU5:00 PMWCBBEIU–SLU5:00 PMCBBPENN–NAVY5:30 PMWCBBSTBK–NIA6:00 PMWCBBIDST–USU6:00 PMWCBBFOR–BUCK6:00 PMWCBBUNCG–GWEB6:00 PMWCBBBING–COLG6:00 PMWCBBCOPP–HOF6:00 PMWCBBRAD–CAM6:00 PMWCBBGTWN–GW6:00 PMWCBBUWF–FSU6:00 PMWCBBNJIT–LAF6:00 PMCBBNCCU–VMI6:00 PMWCBBEMU–RMU6:00 PMWCBBUML–BC6:00 PMWCBBNAVY–JMU6:00 PMWCBBSIE–SYR6:00 PMWCBBSF–AF6:00 PMWCBBMSM–LEH6:00 PMWCBBDREX–UVA6:00 PMWCBBMRST–DUQ6:00 PMWCBBGMU–ARMY6:00 PMWCBBJAX–CCU6:00 PMWCBBUNH–DART6:30 PMWCBBAPSU–UCF6:30 PMAll scores
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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
Odds · Bandwagon model · week 47

Premier League odds, Nov 16–22, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket

Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 9 Premier League games Nov 16–22, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Manchester City at 67%, against Fulham; its closest game is Leeds United at Chelsea, 28%–45%. The largest gap with a market is Brighton & Hove Albion at Hull City: the model gives Brighton & Hove Albion 45% and Kalshi 65% (20 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide

Premier League Nov 16–22, 2026 slate

9 games
Kickoff (ET)GameModel win chanceModel spreadModel totalKalshiPolymarketCrowdResult
Fulham at Manchester CityManchester City 67% draw 20%Manchester City −12.5Manchester City 67%Manchester City 68%––
Crystal Palace at Coventry CityCoventry City 47% draw 27%Coventry City −0.53Coventry City 40%Coventry City 39%––
Ipswich Town at Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur 49% draw 26%Tottenham Hotspur −0.52.5Tottenham Hotspur 63%Tottenham Hotspur 62%––
Leeds United at ChelseaChelsea 45% draw 27%Chelsea −0.52.5Chelsea 52%Chelsea 51%––
Nottingham Forest at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 56% draw 24%AFC Bournemouth −12.5AFC Bournemouth 48%AFC Bournemouth 48%––
Sunderland at Aston VillaAston Villa 57% draw 24%Aston Villa −13Aston Villa 56%Aston Villa 56%––
Arsenal at Newcastle UnitedArsenal 57% draw 24%Arsenal −12.5Arsenal 63%Arsenal 61%––
Brighton & Hove Albion at Hull CityBrighton & Hove Albion 45% draw 27%Brighton & Hove Albion −0.52.5Brighton & Hove Albion 65%Brighton & Hove Albion 63%––
Manchester United at LiverpoolLiverpool 53% draw 25%Liverpool −0.52.5Liverpool 57%Liverpool 56%––

Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.