Crystal Palace vs Coventry City prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Crystal Palace at Coventry City: Bandwagon's model makes Coventry City a 47% favorite (Coventry City −0.5); Kalshi prices them at 40%.
Crystal Palace vs Coventry City model odds and win probability
Axle gives Coventry City a 47% chance to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every EPL marketEach bar is the chance that Coventry City win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 47%.
The largest gap is 8 points: Axle has Coventry City at 47%, Polymarket at 39%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
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Why Axle has Coventry City
All EPL ratings| CRY | COV | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1348 20th of 20 | 1367 18th of 20 |
| Record | 2-7-1 | 3-7 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record and last 5 results are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | COV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:58 AM ET | 47% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 46% | — |
Crystal Palace vs Coventry City odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Premier League marketKalshi prices Coventry City at 40%, Polymarket at 39% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 47%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CRY | Draw | COV | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 34% | 26% | 40% | ||
| Polymarket | 34% | 27% | 39% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 26% | 27% | 47% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Crystal Palace vs Coventry City prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Coventry City a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 47% chance to win and a 27% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Coventry City 1367 (18th of 20), Crystal Palace 1348 (20th). The Coventry City are 3-7; the Crystal Palace are 2-7-1. The Coventry City have won 2 of their last 5; the Crystal Palace 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Crystal Palace
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Liverpool | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tottenham Hotspur | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Newcastle United | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Brighton & Hove Albion | L 0–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nottingham Forest | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Coventry City
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Everton | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sunderland | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fulham | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tottenham Hotspur | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Newcastle United | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Crystal Palace: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Coventry City: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Crystal Palace2-7-1 20th
- Crystal Palace rating1348 20th of 20, 10 games
- Coventry City3-7 17th
- Coventry City rating1367 18th of 20, 10 games
More EPL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Crystal Palace 2-7-1
Premier League · 20th
No stances yet today on $CPALACE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Crystal Palace bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Coventry City 3-7
Premier League · 17th
No stances yet today on $COVENTRY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Coventry City bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Crystal Palace at Coventry City
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In Premier League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 11, 6:12 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Coventry City 47% to win, draw 27%. Projected score Coventry City 1.7, Crystal Palace 1.3; spread Coventry City −0.5, total 3. Kalshi 40%, Polymarket 39% for Coventry City. Crystal Palace at Coventry City, Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET.