Tottenham open at 0-0 with the model making it 46 percent for the home side, the strongest read on the board so far. The crowd has not made a pick yet, so there is nothing to compare it against at kickoff.
Premier League · · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · every Premier League line
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreCrystal Palace 0, Tottenham Hotspur 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTottenham Hotspur 46%
- Pregame Projected scoreTottenham Hotspur 1.8, Crystal Palace 1.3
- Model spreadTottenham Hotspur −0.5 total 3
- Margin2 projected 0.5
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Crystal Palace or Tottenham Hotspur: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 27–46Market 19–58
FinalPregame: TOT 59%Baseline: TOT 81.0% (+21.6)Big swing: 24.3 ptsClutch window: 30:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRY | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOT | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
CRY 20.6%TOT 79.4%
Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for TOT over the last 10:00
Big swing24.3 ptstoward TOT at 26:00 of game time
Clutch window30:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineTOT 81.0%game average, +21.6 points from the pregame 59.4%
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CRY | TOT |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | CRY20.6% | TOT79.4% |
| Shots | CRY2 | TOT34 |
| Shots on target | CRY1 | TOT9 |
| Corners | CRY0 | TOT19 |
| Passes completed | CRY149/219 | TOT758/815 |
| Saves | CRY7 | TOT1 |
| Fouls | CRY10 | TOT8 |
| Offsides | CRY1 | TOT2 |
| Yellow cards | CRY1 | TOT1 |
| Red cards | CRY1 | TOT0 |
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CRY | TOT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CRY0 | TOT2 |
| Average win probability | CRY19% | TOT81% |
| Longest scoring run | CRY+0 | TOT+2 |
| Time leading | CRY0:00 | TOT64:00 |
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 1:01 PM ET
Crystal Palace27%
Win chanceTottenham Hotspur46%
SpreadTOT −0.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+269away / +270draw / +118homeaway / draw / home
Line movementTOT win chance, 9 stored lines
+1 pts for TOT between Oct 28 and Oct 31
51%40%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | TOT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 1:01 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:01 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:56 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 46% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 45% | — |
- Ratings
- TOT 1383 · CRY 1372
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 1:01 PM ET · 2026-10-31 17:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Crystal Palace 0, Tottenham Hotspur 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Premier League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Crystal PalaceTottenham Hotspur
Neutrals only–
Crystal PalaceTottenham Hotspur
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Tottenham Hotspur–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Premier League marketKalshi had Tottenham Hotspur at 58% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 58% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 46% when last read, .
| Source | CRY | Draw | TOT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 18% | 23% | 58% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 19% | 24% | 58% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 27% | 27% | 46% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, TOT: +12Polymarket minus model, TOT: +12
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tottenham Hotspur a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 46% chance to win and a 27% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Tottenham Hotspur 1395 (15th of 20), Crystal Palace 1359 (20th). The Tottenham Hotspur are 3-3-3; the Crystal Palace are 2-6-1. The Tottenham Hotspur have won 3 of their last 5; the Crystal Palace 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tottenham Hotspur won 3, the Crystal Palace 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Crystal Palace
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tottenham Hotspur | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Newcastle United | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Brighton & Hove Albion | L 0–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nottingham Forest | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Leeds United | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup |
Tottenham Hotspur
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Crystal Palace | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chelsea | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coventry City | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manchester United | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Aston Villa | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tottenham Hotspur at Crystal Palace | 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tottenham Hotspur at Crystal Palace | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tottenham Hotspur at Crystal Palace | 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Crystal Palace: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tottenham Hotspur: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Crystal Palace2-6-1 18th
- Crystal Palace rating1359 20th of 20, 9 games
- Tottenham Hotspur3-3-3 8th
- Tottenham Hotspur rating1395 15th of 20, 9 games
Crystal Palace 2-6-1
Premier League · 18th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CPALACE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CPALACE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CPALACE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CPALACE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Crystal Palace bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Tottenham Hotspur 3-3-3
Premier League · 8th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SPURSTOT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SPURSTOT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SPURSTOT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SPURSTOT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tottenham Hotspur bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur
Sign in to post a take on $CPALACESPURSTOT261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Crystal Palace 0, Tottenham Hotspur 2. Bandwagon's model had the Tottenham Hotspur at 46% and projected Tottenham Hotspur 1.8, Crystal Palace 1.3; spread Tottenham Hotspur −0.5, total 3. Last read: Kalshi 58%, Polymarket 58% for Tottenham Hotspur.