Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur: Bandwagon's model makes Tottenham Hotspur a 49% favorite (Tottenham Hotspur −0.5); Kalshi prices them at 63%.
Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur model odds and win probability
Axle gives Tottenham Hotspur a 49% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every EPL marketEach bar is the chance that Tottenham Hotspur win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 49%.
The largest gap is 14 points: Kalshi has Tottenham Hotspur at 63%, Axle at 49%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
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Why Axle has Tottenham Hotspur
All EPL ratings| IPS | TOT | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1356 19th of 20 | 1388 16th of 20 |
| Record | 3-5-2 | 3-4-3 |
| Last 5 games | 1-2-2 | 3-1-1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TOT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 11:03 AM ET | 49% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 10:58 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 48% | — |
Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Premier League marketKalshi prices Tottenham Hotspur at 63%, Polymarket at 62% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 49%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | IPS | Draw | TOT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 16% | 21% | 63% | ||
| Polymarket | 17% | 21% | 62% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 25% | 26% | 49% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tottenham Hotspur a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 49% chance to win and a 26% chance of a draw. The model total is 2.5. Ratings: Tottenham Hotspur 1388 (16th of 20), Ipswich Town 1356 (19th). The Tottenham Hotspur are 3-4-3; the Ipswich Town are 3-5-2. The Tottenham Hotspur have won 3 of their last 5; the Ipswich Town 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tottenham Hotspur won 1, the Ipswich Town 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Ipswich Town
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs AFC Bournemouth | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hull City | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nottingham Forest | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manchester City | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fulham | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Tottenham Hotspur
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Leeds United | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Crystal Palace | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chelsea | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coventry City | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manchester United | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur at Ipswich Town | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur | 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Ipswich Town: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tottenham Hotspur: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Ipswich Town3-5-2 14th
- Ipswich Town rating1356 19th of 20, 10 games
- Tottenham Hotspur3-4-3 11th
- Tottenham Hotspur rating1388 16th of 20, 10 games
More EPL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Ipswich Town 3-5-2
Premier League · 14th
No stances yet today on $IPSWICH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ipswich Town bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Tottenham Hotspur 3-4-3
Premier League · 11th
No stances yet today on $SPURSTOT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tottenham Hotspur bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In Premier League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 11, 6:12 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Tottenham Hotspur 49% to win, draw 26%. Projected score Tottenham Hotspur 1.5, Ipswich Town 1.0; spread Tottenham Hotspur −0.5, total 2.5. Kalshi 63%, Polymarket 62% for Tottenham Hotspur. Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur, Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET.