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Houston Texans vs New England Patriots: final score and how the prediction did, January 18, 2026

Houston Texans or New England Patriots: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Record 2-5
1628
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–

Houston Texans at New England Patriots win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatHOUNE
ScoreHOU16NE28
Average win probabilityHOU–NE–
Longest scoring runHOU–NE–
Time leadingHOU–NE–

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TexansPatriots
Neutrals only–
TexansPatriots
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Patriots–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots prediction

Ratings: Patriots 1599 (8th of 32), Texans 1516 (15th). The Patriots are 5-3 in the AFC East; the Texans are 2-5 in the AFC South. The Patriots have won 4 of their last 5; the Texans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Patriots won 0, the Texans 1. The roster source lists 12 Patriots and 12 Texans players as injured.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Houston Texans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs New York GiantsL 21–27––matchup
at Jacksonville JaguarsW 34–31––matchup
at Tennessee TitansW 26–3––matchup
vs Dallas CowboysL 30–34––matchup
at Indianapolis ColtsL 17–19––matchup

New England Patriots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Miami DolphinsW 24–19––matchup
at Chicago BearsL 24–30––matchup
vs New York JetsW 26–19––matchup
vs Las Vegas RaidersW 45–17––matchup
at Buffalo BillsW 29–26––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Houston Texans at New England Patriots41–21––matchup

Injuries

Houston Texans: Tank Dell WR, Graham Mertz QB, Jayden Higgins WR, Mario Edwards Jr. DT, E.J. Speed LB, British Brooks RB, Jake Hummel LB, Solomon Byrd DE, Ali Gaye DE, Dylan Horton DE, Sam Hagen G, K.C. Ossai LB

New England Patriots: Romeo Doubs WR, Mack Hollins WR, Harold Landry III LB, Reggie Gilliam FB, Julian Hill TE, Dell Pettus S, Quintayvious Hutchins LB, Khalil Jacobs LB, Myles Montgomery RB, Mike Onwenu G, Greg Van Roten G, Alijah Vera-Tucker G

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Texans2-5 AFC South, 2nd · L1
  • Texans rating1516 15th of 32, 7 games
  • Patriots5-3 AFC East, 2nd · W1
  • Patriots rating1599 8th of 32, 8 games

Houston Texans 2-5

National Football League · AFC South · 2nd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TEXANS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TEXANS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TEXANS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TEXANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Texans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Texans roster, schedule and more

New England Patriots 5-3

National Football League · AFC East · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PATRIOTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New England Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Patriots roster, schedule and more

Takes on Houston Texans at New England Patriots

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