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Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots: final score and how the prediction did, October 11, 2026

Las Vegas Raiders or New England Patriots: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 4-4
1745
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatLVNE
ScoreLV17NE45
Average win probabilityLV–NE–
Longest scoring runLV–NE–
Time leadingLV–NE–

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RaidersPatriots
Neutrals only–
RaidersPatriots
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Patriots–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots prediction

Ratings: Patriots 1599 (8th of 32), Raiders 1411 (25th). The Patriots are 5-3 in the AFC East; the Raiders are 4-4 in the AFC West. The Patriots have won 4 of their last 5; the Raiders 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Patriots won 0, the Raiders 3. The roster source lists 13 Patriots and 7 Raiders players as injured.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Las Vegas Raiders

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at New York JetsW 38–33––matchup
vs Los Angeles RamsL 21–35––matchup
vs Buffalo BillsL 30–33––matchup
at New England PatriotsL 17–45––matchup
vs Kansas City ChiefsL 27–30––matchup

New England Patriots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Miami DolphinsW 24–19––matchup
at Chicago BearsL 24–30––matchup
vs New York JetsW 26–19––matchup
vs Las Vegas RaidersW 45–17––matchup
at Buffalo BillsW 29–26––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots20–13––matchup
New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders17–21––matchup
New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders24–30––matchup

Injuries

Las Vegas Raiders: Patrick Johnson DE, Carter Runyon TE, Brennan Jackson LB, Chigozie Anusiem CB, Chris Collier RB, Keyron Crawford DE, Justin Pickett G

New England Patriots: Romeo Doubs WR, Mack Hollins WR, Harold Landry III LB, Reggie Gilliam FB, Julian Hill TE, Dell Pettus S, Marcus Bryant OT, Quintayvious Hutchins LB, Khalil Jacobs LB, Myles Montgomery RB, Mike Onwenu G, Greg Van Roten G, Alijah Vera-Tucker G

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Raiders4-4 AFC West, 3rd · W1
  • Raiders rating1411 25th of 32, 8 games
  • Patriots5-3 AFC East, 2nd · W1
  • Patriots rating1599 8th of 32, 8 games

Las Vegas Raiders 4-4

National Football League · AFC West · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RAIDERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RAIDERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RAIDERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $RAIDERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Las Vegas Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Raiders roster, schedule and more

New England Patriots 5-3

National Football League · AFC East · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PATRIOTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New England Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Patriots roster, schedule and more

Takes on Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots

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