New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnereven
- Projected scoreEagles 23, Giants 22
- Model spreadEagles −0.5 total 44.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New York Giants or Philadelphia Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 49–51Market 63–37
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NYG | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYG– | PHI– |
| Average win probability | NYG– | PHI– |
| Longest scoring run | NYG– | PHI– |
| Time leading | NYG– | PHI– |
New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PHI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 PM ET | 51% | −4 |
| Nov 1, 7:41 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:36 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 55% | +11 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 44% | — |
- Ratings
- PHI 1424 · NYG 1455
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Giants vs Eagles odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi prices the Giants at 63%, Polymarket at 63%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 49%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | NYG | PHI | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 63% | 37% | ||
| Polymarket | 63% | 37% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 49% | 51% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Eagles. The model total is 44.5. Ratings: Eagles 1424 (24th of 32), Giants 1455 (18th). The Eagles are 2-6 in the NFC East; the Giants are 4-2-1 in the NFC East. The Eagles have won 0 of their last 5; the Giants 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Eagles won 4, the Giants 2. The roster source lists 6 Eagles and 15 Giants players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New York Giants
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Houston Texans | W 27–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Orleans Saints | L 27–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Commanders | T 27–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Cardinals | W 36–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Titans | W 12–7 | – | – | matchup |
Philadelphia Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Washington Commanders | L 10–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dallas Cowboys | L 21–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Panthers | L 14–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jacksonville Jaguars | L 17–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Rams | L 20–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles | 20–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants | 17–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles | 13–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants | 28–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants | 10–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles | 25–33 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New York Giants: Jaxson Dart QB, Braxton Berrios WR, Tremaine Edmunds LB, Brian Burns LB, Francis Mauigoa OT, Calvin Austin III WR, Paulson Adebo CB, Chauncey Golston DE, Korie Black CB, DJ James CB, Jarrick Bernard-Converse CB, Rico Payton CB, Thaddeus Dixon CB, Gunner Olszewski WR, Roy Robertson-Harris DT
Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts QB, Will Shipley RB, Johnny Wilson WR, Andre' Sam S, Tariq Castro-Fields CB, Tucker Large S
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Giants4-2-1 NFC East, 1st · W1
- Giants rating1455 18th of 32, 7 games
- Eagles2-6 NFC East, 4th · L6
- Eagles rating1424 24th of 32, 8 games
New York Giants 4-2-1
National Football League · NFC East · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GIANTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Giants bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · NFC East · 4th · streak L6
No stances yet today on $EAGLES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
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Model: even. Projected score Eagles 23, Giants 22; spread Eagles −0.5, total 44.5. Kalshi 63%, Polymarket 63% for the Giants. New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET.