Ligue 1 odds, Nov 16–22, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 9 Ligue 1 games Nov 16–22, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Paris FC at 71%, against Angers; its closest game is Stade Rennais at Lorient, 36%–38%. The largest gap with a market is Lyon at Lille: the model gives Lille 52% and Polymarket 40% (12 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
Ligue 1 Nov 16–22, 2026 slate
9 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC at Troyes | Troyes 51% draw 24% | Troyes −0.5 | 3 | Troyes 48% | Troyes 48% | – | – | |
| Paris Saint-Germain at Nice | Paris Saint-Germain 59% draw 22% | Paris Saint-Germain −0.5 | 3 | Paris Saint-Germain 68% | Paris Saint-Germain 68% | – | – | |
| AJ Auxerre at AS Monaco | AS Monaco 62% draw 21% | AS Monaco −1 | 3 | AS Monaco 70% | AS Monaco 70% | – | – | |
| Brest at Strasbourg | Strasbourg 46% draw 25% | Strasbourg −0.5 | 3 | Strasbourg 44% | Strasbourg 44% | – | – | |
| Lyon at Lille | Lille 52% draw 24% | Lille −0.5 | 2.5 | Lille 41% | Lille 40% | – | – | |
| Toulouse at Lens | Lens 55% draw 23% | Lens −0.5 | 3 | Lens 51% | Lens 51% | – | – | |
| Angers at Paris FC | Paris FC 71% draw 17% | Paris FC −1.5 | 3 | Paris FC 72% | Paris FC 73% | – | – | |
| Stade Rennais at Lorient | Lorient 38% draw 26% | even | 3 | Lorient 34% | Lorient 34% | – | – | |
| Le Mans at Marseille | Marseille 69% draw 18% | Marseille −1 | 3 | Marseille 67% | Marseille 67% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.