Ligue 1 odds, Nov 2–8, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 10 of 10 Ligue 1 games Nov 2–8, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Paris Saint-Germain at 81%, against Troyes; its closest game is Lille at Stade Rennais, 36%–38%. The largest gap with a market is Paris FC at AJ Auxerre: the model gives Paris FC 43% and Kalshi 60% (17 points). Model as of Nov 8, 1:14 PM ET; prices as of Nov 8, 2:41 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
Ligue 1 Nov 2–8, 2026 slate
10 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest at Lorient | Lorient 51% draw 24% | Lorient −0.5 | 2.5 | – | – | – | Brest 2, Lorient 0 model's favorite lost | |
| Strasbourg at Toulouse | Toulouse 41% draw 26% | even | 3 | Toulouse 44% | Toulouse 44% | – | Strasbourg 1, Toulouse 3 model's favorite won | |
| Paris FC at AJ Auxerre | Paris FC 43% draw 26% | even | 3 | Paris FC 60% | Paris FC 59% | – | Paris FC 1, AJ Auxerre 0 model's favorite won | |
| Troyes at Paris Saint-Germain | Paris Saint-Germain 81% draw 12% | Paris Saint-Germain −2 | 3 | Paris Saint-Germain 88% | Paris Saint-Germain 88% | – | Troyes 0, Paris Saint-Germain 1 model's favorite won | |
| Lille at Stade Rennais | Stade Rennais 38% draw 26% | even | 3 | Stade Rennais 42% | Stade Rennais 42% | – | Lille 2, Stade Rennais 1 model's favorite lost | |
| Lorient at Le Havre AC | Lorient 41% draw 26% | even | 3 | Lorient 39% | Lorient 40% | – | Lorient 2, Le Havre AC 0 model's favorite won | |
| Lyon at Brest | Lyon 43% draw 26% | even | 3 | Lyon 38% | Lyon 38% | – | Lyon 0, Brest 2 model's favorite lost | |
| AS Monaco at Le Mans | AS Monaco 47% draw 25% | AS Monaco −0.5 | 3 | AS Monaco 59% | AS Monaco 60% | – | AS Monaco 1, Le Mans 1 ended level | |
| Nice at Angers | Nice 44% draw 26% | even | 3 | Nice 50% | Nice 52% | – | Nice 2, Angers 0 model's favorite won | |
| Marseille at Lens | Lens 45% draw 26% | Lens −0.5 | 3 | Lens 44% | Lens 43% | – | Marseille 2, Lens 1 model's favorite lost |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 5 of 10 finished Ligue 1 games that had a favorite (50%), and 1 game ended level. Each line is the one stored before kickoff. The model's record