Bundesliga odds, Nov 16–22, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 9 Bundesliga games Nov 16–22, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Bayern Munich at 87%, against FC Cologne; its closest game is SC Freiburg at SV Elversberg, 35%–35%. The largest gap with a market is SC Paderborn 07 at Bayer Leverkusen: the model gives Bayer Leverkusen 62% and Kalshi 77% (15 points). Model as of Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
Bundesliga Nov 16–22, 2026 slate
9 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne at Bayern Munich | Bayern Munich 87% draw 9% | Bayern Munich −3 | 3 | Bayern Munich 89% | Bayern Munich 89% | – | – | |
| Borussia Dortmund at Borussia Mönchengladbach | Borussia Dortmund 66% draw 21% | Borussia Dortmund −1.5 | 3.5 | Borussia Dortmund 60% | Borussia Dortmund 60% | – | – | |
| SC Freiburg at SV Elversberg | SV Elversberg 35% draw 29% | even | 3.5 | SV Elversberg 28% | SV Elversberg 28% | – | – | |
| TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt | Eintracht Frankfurt 40% draw 29% | even | 3.5 | Eintracht Frankfurt 40% | Eintracht Frankfurt 40% | – | – | |
| SC Paderborn 07 at Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen 62% draw 22% | Bayer Leverkusen −1 | 3 | Bayer Leverkusen 77% | Bayer Leverkusen 77% | – | – | |
| RB Leipzig at 1. FC Union Berlin | RB Leipzig 47% draw 28% | RB Leipzig −0.5 | 3.5 | RB Leipzig 62% | RB Leipzig 61% | – | – | |
| VfB Stuttgart at Schalke 04 | VfB Stuttgart 47% draw 28% | VfB Stuttgart −0.5 | 2.5 | VfB Stuttgart 53% | VfB Stuttgart 52% | – | – | |
| Mainz at FC Augsburg | FC Augsburg 46% draw 28% | FC Augsburg −0.5 | 4 | FC Augsburg 35% | FC Augsburg 36% | – | – | |
| Hamburg SV at Werder Bremen | Werder Bremen 48% draw 28% | Werder Bremen −0.5 | 3.5 | Werder Bremen 58% | Werder Bremen 57% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.