TSG Hoffenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt: Bandwagon's model makes Eintracht Frankfurt a 40% favorite (even); Kalshi prices them at 40%.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt model odds and win probability
Axle gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 40% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every Bundesliga marketEach bar is the chance that Eintracht Frankfurt win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 40%.
All 3 sources have Eintracht Frankfurt at 40%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
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Why Axle has Eintracht Frankfurt
All Bundesliga ratings| TSG | SGE | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1449 7th of 18 | 1424 8th of 18 |
| Record | 4-5 | 3-3-3 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 4 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SGE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:33 PM ET | 40% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 1:28 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 11:28 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:05 AM ET | 41% | — |
TSG Hoffenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Bundesliga marketKalshi prices Eintracht Frankfurt at 40%, Polymarket at 40%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 40%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | TSG | Draw | SGE | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 24% | 40% | ||
| Polymarket | 36% | 24% | 40% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 31% | 29% | 40% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
TSG Hoffenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eintracht Frankfurt the favorite, with a 40% chance to win and a 29% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3.5. Ratings: Eintracht Frankfurt 1424 (8th of 18), TSG Hoffenheim 1449 (7th). The Eintracht Frankfurt are 3-3-3; the TSG Hoffenheim are 4-5. The Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5; the TSG Hoffenheim 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Eintracht Frankfurt won 4, the TSG Hoffenheim 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
TSG Hoffenheim
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Schalke 04 | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Werder Bremen | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bayer Leverkusen | W 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Borussia Mönchengladbach | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hamburg SV | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at SC Paderborn 07 | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hamburg SV | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Borussia Dortmund | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Cologne | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at RB Leipzig | L 0–6 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt at TSG Hoffenheim | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt at TSG Hoffenheim | 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt at TSG Hoffenheim | 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
TSG Hoffenheim: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Eintracht Frankfurt: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- TSG Hoffenheim4-5 9th
- TSG Hoffenheim rating1449 7th of 18, 9 games
- Eintracht Frankfurt3-3-3 10th
- Eintracht Frankfurt rating1424 8th of 18, 9 games
More Bundesliga games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
TSG Hoffenheim 4-5
Bundesliga · 9th
No stances yet today on $HOFFENHEIM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TSG Hoffenheim bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3-3
Bundesliga · 10th
No stances yet today on $FRANKFURT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Eintracht Frankfurt bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In Bundesliga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 11, 6:12 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Eintracht Frankfurt 40% to win, draw 29%. Projected score Eintracht Frankfurt 1.9, TSG Hoffenheim 1.6; spread even, total 3.5. Kalshi 40%, Polymarket 40% for Eintracht Frankfurt. TSG Hoffenheim at Eintracht Frankfurt, Sat, Nov 21, 9:30 AM ET.