Bundesliga odds, Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 9 Bundesliga games Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Bayern Munich at 62%, against Borussia Dortmund; its closest game is TSG Hoffenheim at Werder Bremen, 36%–35%. Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket has a price on these games yet. Model as of Nov 1, 11:24 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
Bundesliga Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 slate
9 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz at SV Elversberg | SV Elversberg 43% draw 28% | SV Elversberg −0.5 | 3.5 | – | – | – | Mainz 1, SV Elversberg 4 model's favorite won | |
| SC Freiburg at FC Augsburg | FC Augsburg 39% draw 29% | even | 3.5 | – | – | – | SC Freiburg 2, FC Augsburg 1 model's favorite lost | |
| TSG Hoffenheim at Werder Bremen | Werder Bremen 35% draw 29% | even | 3.5 | – | – | – | TSG Hoffenheim 0, Werder Bremen 2 no favorite | |
| SC Paderborn 07 at Borussia Mönchengladbach | Borussia Mönchengladbach 37% draw 29% | even | 3.5 | – | – | – | SC Paderborn 07 0, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 ended level | |
| RB Leipzig at Schalke 04 | RB Leipzig 43% draw 29% | RB Leipzig −0.5 | 3 | – | – | – | RB Leipzig 2, Schalke 04 0 model's favorite won | |
| VfB Stuttgart at Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen 50% draw 27% | Bayer Leverkusen −0.5 | 3.5 | – | – | – | VfB Stuttgart 4, Bayer Leverkusen 2 model's favorite lost | |
| Borussia Dortmund at Bayern Munich | Bayern Munich 62% draw 23% | Bayern Munich −1 | 3.5 | – | – | – | Borussia Dortmund 2, Bayern Munich 2 ended level | |
| FC Cologne at 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FC Union Berlin 50% draw 27% | 1. FC Union Berlin −0.5 | 3 | – | – | – | FC Cologne 1, 1. FC Union Berlin 1 ended level | |
| Hamburg SV at Eintracht Frankfurt | Eintracht Frankfurt 49% draw 27% | Eintracht Frankfurt −0.5 | 3.5 | – | – | – | Hamburg SV 1, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 model's favorite won |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 3 of 8 finished Bundesliga games that had a favorite (38%), and 3 games ended level. Each line is the one stored before kickoff. Not counted: 1 finished game with no favorite. The model's record