Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Blackhawks at Flames: Bandwagon's model makes the Flames a 62% favorite (Flames −1).
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Flames a 62% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Flames win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 62%.
All 2 sources have the Flames at 62%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
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Why Axle has the Flames
All NHL ratings| CHI | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1394 31st of 32 | 1456 29th of 32 |
| Record | 4-13-1 | 8-9-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 4 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | CGY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:58 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 62% | — |
Blackhawks vs Flames odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Flames at 62%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 62%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CHI | CGY | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 38% | 62% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Flames a 1-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Flames 1456 (29th of 32), Blackhawks 1394 (31st). The Flames are 8-9-1 in the Pacific Division; the Blackhawks are 4-13-1 in the Central Division. The Flames have won 2 of their last 5; the Blackhawks 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Flames won 4, the Blackhawks 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Chicago Blackhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 2–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Lightning | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Panthers | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Calgary Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia Flyers | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Kraken | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Sharks | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames | 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames | 4–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Blackhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Calgary Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blackhawks4-13-1 Central Division, 8th · L6
- Blackhawks rating1394 31st of 32, 18 games
- Flames8-9-1 Pacific Division, 5th · W1
- Flames rating1456 29th of 32, 18 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Chicago Blackhawks 4-13-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 8th · streak L6
No stances yet today on $BLACKHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Blackhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Calgary Flames 8-9-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $FLAMES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Calgary Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Flames 62% to win. Projected score Flames 3.4, Blackhawks 2.6; spread Flames −1, total 6. Polymarket 62% for the Flames. Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames, Sat, Nov 21, 3:30 PM ET.