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New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins: final score and how the prediction did, September 14, 2025

New England Patriots or Miami Dolphins: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
3327
Record 1-6
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatNEMIA
ScoreNE33MIA27
Average win probabilityNE–MIA–
Longest scoring runNE–MIA–
Time leadingNE–MIA–

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PatriotsDolphins
Neutrals only–
PatriotsDolphins
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Dolphins–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins prediction

Ratings: Dolphins 1375 (30th of 32), Patriots 1599 (8th). The Dolphins are 1-6 in the AFC East; the Patriots are 5-3 in the AFC East. The Dolphins have won 1 of their last 5; the Patriots 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Dolphins won 4, the Patriots 2. The roster source lists 6 Dolphins and 12 Patriots players as injured.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

New England Patriots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Miami DolphinsW 24–19––matchup
at Chicago BearsL 24–30––matchup
vs New York JetsW 26–19––matchup
vs Las Vegas RaidersW 45–17––matchup
at Buffalo BillsW 29–26––matchup

Miami Dolphins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs New England PatriotsL 19–24––matchup
at New York JetsW 28–25––matchup
vs Cincinnati BengalsL 24–31––matchup
at Minnesota VikingsL 10–15––matchup
vs Kansas City ChiefsL 10–24––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins24–19––matchup
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots10–38––matchup
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins15–34––matchup
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots15–10––matchup
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins17–31––matchup
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots24–17––matchup

Injuries

New England Patriots: Romeo Doubs WR, Mack Hollins WR, Harold Landry III LB, Reggie Gilliam FB, Julian Hill TE, Dell Pettus S, Quintayvious Hutchins LB, Khalil Jacobs LB, Myles Montgomery RB, Mike Onwenu G, Greg Van Roten G, Alijah Vera-Tucker G

Miami Dolphins: De'Von Achane RB, Ronnie Harrison Jr. LB, Darrell Baker Jr. CB, Rene Konga DT, Trey Moore LB, Cole Turner TE

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Patriots5-3 AFC East, 2nd · W1
  • Patriots rating1599 8th of 32, 8 games
  • Dolphins1-6 AFC East, 4th · L1
  • Dolphins rating1375 30th of 32, 7 games

New England Patriots 5-3

National Football League · AFC East · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PATRIOTS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PATRIOTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New England Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Patriots roster, schedule and more

Miami Dolphins 1-6

National Football League · AFC East · 4th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DOLPHINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DOLPHINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DOLPHINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DOLPHINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami Dolphins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Dolphins roster, schedule and more

Takes on New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

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