New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills: final score and how the prediction did, October 5, 2025
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
New England Patriots or Buffalo Bills: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NE23 | BUF20 |
| Average win probability | NE– | BUF– |
| Longest scoring run | NE– | BUF– |
| Time leading | NE– | BUF– |
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills prediction
Ratings: Bills 1668 (1st of 32), Patriots 1599 (8th). The Bills are 6-1 in the AFC East; the Patriots are 5-3 in the AFC East. The Bills have won 4 of their last 5; the Patriots 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bills won 3, the Patriots 3. The roster source lists 4 Bills and 12 Patriots players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New England Patriots
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Miami Dolphins | W 24–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Bears | L 24–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Jets | W 26–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Las Vegas Raiders | W 45–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Buffalo Bills | W 29–26 | – | – | matchup |
Buffalo Bills
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Baltimore Ravens | W 36–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Las Vegas Raiders | W 33–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Rams | W 37–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New England Patriots | L 26–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 24–16 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | 29–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots | 35–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots | 16–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | 21–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | 21–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots | 25–29 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New England Patriots: Romeo Doubs WR, Mack Hollins WR, Harold Landry III LB, Reggie Gilliam FB, Julian Hill TE, Dell Pettus S, Quintayvious Hutchins LB, Khalil Jacobs LB, Myles Montgomery RB, Mike Onwenu G, Greg Van Roten G, Alijah Vera-Tucker G
Buffalo Bills: Tyrell Shavers WR, Jordan Hancock CB, Dorian Strong CB, Zane Durant DT
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Patriots5-3 AFC East, 2nd · W1
- Patriots rating1599 8th of 32, 8 games
- Bills6-1 AFC East, 1st · W3
- Bills rating1668 1st of 32, 7 games
National Football League · AFC East · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $PATRIOTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New England Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Buffalo Bills 6-1
National Football League · AFC East · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $BILLS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Buffalo Bills bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
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