Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerTimberwolves 90%
- Projected scoreTimberwolves 124, Bulls 107
- Model spreadTimberwolves −17 total 231.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chicago Bulls or Minnesota Timberwolves: the bandwagon
Axle 10–90Market 22–78
Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CHI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI– | MIN– |
| Average win probability | CHI– | MIN– |
| Longest scoring run | CHI– | MIN– |
| Time leading | CHI– | MIN– |
Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:42 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:30 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:46 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:06 PM ET | 90% | +1 |
| Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET | 89% | −1 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 90% | +1 |
| Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:59 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:54 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | — |
- Ratings
- MIN 1634 · CHI 1334
- Home spread
- −17
- Stored
- Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET · 2026-11-05 06:27 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bulls vs Timberwolves odds on Polymarket
Every NBA marketPolymarket prices the Timberwolves at 78%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 90%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CHI | MIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 22% | 78% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 10% | 90% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Timberwolves a 17-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 231.5. Ratings: Timberwolves 1614 (7th of 30), Bulls 1336 (24th). The Timberwolves are 5-3 in the Northwest; the Bulls are 1-6 in the Central. The Timberwolves have won 3 of their last 5; the Bulls 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Timberwolves won 3, the Bulls 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chicago Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Knicks | L 105–135 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia 76ers | L 107–126 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Celtics | L 111–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Knicks | L 127–133 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Celtics | L 99–134 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Houston Rockets | W 117–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Milwaukee Bucks | W 112–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Antonio Spurs | L 111–121 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs LA Clippers | W 127–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Golden State Warriors | L 114–119 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls | 116–133 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves | 120–115 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls | 136–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls | 120–126 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves | 108–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls | 135–119 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Timberwolves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulls1-6 Central, 1st · L5
- Bulls rating1336 24th of 30, 7 games
- Timberwolves5-3 Northwest, 3rd · W1
- Timberwolves rating1614 7th of 30, 8 games
Chicago Bulls 1-6
National Basketball Association · Central · 1st · streak L5
No stances yet today on $BULLS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TIMBERWOLVES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Timberwolves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves
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Model: Timberwolves 90% to win. Projected score Timberwolves 124, Bulls 107; spread Timberwolves −17, total 231.5. Polymarket 78% for the Timberwolves. Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves, Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET.