Premier League odds, Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 9 Premier League games Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Manchester City at 59%, against Brighton & Hove Albion; its closest game is Manchester United at Chelsea, 32%–40%. The largest gap with a market is Ipswich Town at Hull City: the model gives Hull City 51% and Kalshi 31% (20 points). Model as of Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET; prices as of Nov 1, 11:28 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
Premier League Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 slate
9 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United at Chelsea | Chelsea 40% draw 28% | even | 3 | Chelsea 44% | Chelsea 43% | – | Manchester United 0, Chelsea 2 model's favorite won | |
| Brighton & Hove Albion at Manchester City | Manchester City 59% draw 23% | Manchester City −1 | 3.5 | Manchester City 57% | Manchester City 57% | – | Brighton & Hove Albion 1, Manchester City 0 model's favorite lost | |
| Ipswich Town at Hull City | Hull City 51% draw 26% | Hull City −0.5 | 3 | Hull City 31% | Hull City 32% | – | Ipswich Town 2, Hull City 2 ended level | |
| Leeds United at AFC Bournemouth | AFC Bournemouth 49% draw 26% | AFC Bournemouth −0.5 | 2.5 | AFC Bournemouth 48% | AFC Bournemouth 48% | – | Leeds United 0, AFC Bournemouth 2 model's favorite won | |
| Nottingham Forest at Brentford | Brentford 50% draw 26% | Brentford −0.5 | 2.5 | Brentford 45% | Brentford 45% | – | Nottingham Forest 0, Brentford 2 model's favorite won | |
| Sunderland at Coventry City | Coventry City 41% draw 28% | even | 2.5 | Coventry City 31% | Coventry City 32% | – | Sunderland 1, Coventry City 3 model's favorite won | |
| Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur | Tottenham Hotspur 46% draw 27% | Tottenham Hotspur −0.5 | 3 | Tottenham Hotspur 58% | Tottenham Hotspur 58% | – | Crystal Palace 0, Tottenham Hotspur 2 model's favorite won | |
| Fulham at Aston Villa | Aston Villa 54% draw 25% | Aston Villa −0.5 | 2.5 | Aston Villa 48% | Aston Villa 48% | – | Fulham 1, Aston Villa 1 ended level | |
| Arsenal at Liverpool | Arsenal 40% draw 28% | even | 2.5 | Arsenal 40% | Arsenal 40% | – | Arsenal 1, Liverpool 0 model's favorite won |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 6 of 9 finished Premier League games that had a favorite (67%), and 2 games ended level. Each line is the one stored before kickoff. The model's record